SD @ COL
Coors Field · Denver, Colorado
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
San Diego Padres 5.1 · Colorado Rockies 3.6
The model leans San Diego Padres because San Diego Padres owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and San Diego Padres has the recent-form edge. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Three things to watch
- Form gap. San Diego Padres is 50% over their recent sample; Colorado Rockies is 25%. Streaky teams tend to carry one more game than the math allows for.
- Net efficiency. San Diego Padres projects 51% from points-for vs points-allowed; Colorado Rockies sits at 42%.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
San Diego Padres
- Yu Darvish SP · #11
- German Marquez SP · #33
- Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · #23
- Jackson Merrill CF · #3
Colorado Rockies
- Michael Lorenzen SP · #24
- Tomoyuki Sugano SP · #11
- Jimmy Herget RP · #44
- Brennan Bernardino RP · #83
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.