Skip to content

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor6:10 PM CT
Model pickAtlanta Braves

Atlanta Braves 5.9 · Houston Astros 3.5

68%confidence
Atlanta Braves28-13+2.1 net/g (SOS-adj +1.9) · expected win rate 71% · last 10: 60%
Houston Astros16-25-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 43% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeDaikin ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Atlanta Braves gets the model’s nod thanks to Atlanta Braves’s margin advantage, with Atlanta Braves’s recent run providing the second tip. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Three things to watch

  • Net efficiency. Atlanta Braves projects 71% from points-for vs points-allowed; Houston Astros sits at 43%.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.

Trending