CHC @ BOS
Fenway Park · Boston, Massachusetts
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Chicago Cubs 5.2 · Boston Red Sox 3.5
Chicago Cubs is the model’s call — Chicago Cubs on the margin numbers, Chicago Cubs on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Three things to watch
- Form gap. Chicago Cubs is 80% over their recent sample; Boston Red Sox is 55%. Streaky teams tend to carry one more game than the math allows for.
- Net efficiency. Chicago Cubs projects 61% from points-for vs points-allowed; Boston Red Sox sits at 47%.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Chicago Cubs
- Edward Cabrera SP · #30
- Jameson Taillon SP · #50
- Alex Bregman 3B · #3
- Nico Hoerner 2B · #2
Boston Red Sox
- Brayan Bello SP · #66
- Connelly Early SP · #71
- Trevor Story SS · #10
- Willson Contreras 1B · #40
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.