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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:35 PM PT⚾ Cam Schlittler vs Robbie RayESPN UnlmtdMLB.TV
Result readNew York Yankees

New York Yankees 3 · San Francisco Giants 0

Final
New York Yankees26-15+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 60%
San Francisco Giants16-24-1-1.2 net/g (SOS-adj -1.2) · expected win rate 36% · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeOracle ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans New York Yankees because New York Yankees owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and New York Yankees has the recent-form edge. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 99%. Actual: New York Yankees by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

New York Yankees

San Francisco Giants

Injury Report

San Francisco Giants

Daniel Susac10-Day-ILHarrison Bader10-Day-ILErik Miller15-Day-ILJason Foley60-Day-ILLogan Webb15-Day-IL

New York Yankees

Jose CaballeroDay-To-DayBen HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreJudge homered to left (405 feet), Goldschmidt scored.6th Inning2–0
  2. ScoreStanton homered to left (414 feet).6th Inning3–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
New York Yankees000003000380
San Francisco Giants000000000010

New York Yankees

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Paul Goldschmidt 1B·1-5511000023.200.200.400
Aaron Judge RF·1-4411210219.111.111.444
Cody Bellinger LF·1-3301001020.250.333.250
Giancarlo Stanton DH·2-4412110113.500.500.875
Amed Rosario 3B·0-220000007.000.000.000
Ryan McMahon 3B0-110000118.250.500.250
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B·1-4401000219.286.375.286
Jose Caballero SS·2-4402000014.375.375.375
Randal Grichuk LF·0-220000007.000.000.000
Trent Grisham CF0-1100001012.167.286.500
Austin Wells C·0-4400000112.286.375.286

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Cam Schlittler SP·5.110008068-490.0068
Fernando Cruz RP0.200010010-50.0010
Tim Hill RP1.000002012-90.0012
Camilo Doval RP1.000003012-100.0012
David Bednar RP1.000010019-130.0019

San Francisco Giants

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Luis Arraez 2B·0-4400000013.143.250.143
Matt Chapman 3B·0-2200002120.000.375.000
Rafael Devers 1B·0-4400000320.125.125.125
Willy Adames SS·0-3300000314.000.000.000
Jung Hoo Lee RF·0-3300000112.000.000.000
Heliot Ramos LF·1-3301000210.286.286.429
Casey Schmitt 1B·0-330000017.000.143.000
Patrick Bailey C·0-3300000113.000.000.000
Harrison Bader CF·0-3300000112.000.000.000

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Robbie Ray SP·5.152204189-573.3889
Jose Butto RP0.221102117-1113.5017
Erik Miller RP1.000000010-70.0010
Ryan Walker RP0.110011012-80.0012
Ryan Borucki RP0.200010012-50.0012
Matt Gage RP1.000010014-80.0014

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 7th InningGrisham grounded out to second, Caballero to third.
  2. 9th InningChapman walked.
  3. 7th InningPitch 6 : Ball In Play
  4. 9th InningDevers grounded out to second.
  5. 9th InningPitch 9 : Ball 4

Scoring Plays

  1. 6th InningJudge homered to left (405 feet), Goldschmidt scored.2–0
  2. 6th InningStanton homered to left (414 feet).3–0

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