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In The Rafters

LAA @ HOU

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameIndoor1:10 PM CT⚾ Jack Kochanowicz vs Tatsuya ImaiMLB.TV
Result readHouston Astros

Los Angeles Angels 7 · Houston Astros 9

Final
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Houston Astros16-25-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 43% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeDaikin ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Houston Astros on the back of Los Angeles Angels’s margin work and Houston Astros’s last-ten momentum. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Houston Astros at 60%. Actual: Houston Astros by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Los Angeles Angels

Houston Astros

Injury Report

Houston Astros

Tatsuya Imai15-Day-ILLance McCullers Jr.Day-To-DayWalker JanekDay-To-DayLucas SpenceDay-To-DayYainer Diaz10-Day-IL

Los Angeles Angels

Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Los Angeles Angels
JL Josh Lowe LF · #3 MT Mike Trout CF · #27 JA Jo Adell RF · #7 YM Yoan Moncada 3B · #10 ZN Zach Neto SS · #9 OP Oswald Peraza 2B · #2 NS Nolan Schanuel 1B · #18 JS Jose Soriano P · #59 TD T. d'Arnaud C · #25
Houston Astros
YA Yordan Alvarez LF · #44 DJ Daniel Johnson CF · #31 CS Cam Smith RF · #11 IP Isaac Paredes 3B · #15 CC Carlos Correa SS · #1 JA Jose Altuve 2B · #27 CW C. Walker 1B · #8 MB Mike Burrows P · #50 YD Yainer Diaz C · #21

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🏃 DoubleParedes doubled to right, Alvarez scored and Smith scored.8th Inning6–8
  2. ScoreNeto homered to left (365 feet), d'Arnaud scored.4th Inning6–4
  3. ScoreAlvarez singled to right, Smith scored, Vázquez to third.2nd Inning0–3
  4. ScoreSchanuel singled to right, Frazier scored, Trout to third.9th Inning7–9
  5. ScoreVázquez singled to right, Loperfido scored and Walker scored, Smith to third.2nd Inning0–2
  6. ScoreAdell singled to left, Soler scored.3rd Inning4–4

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Los Angeles Angels004200001771
Houston Astros04002003—970

Los Angeles Angels

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Zach Neto SS·1-2221213029.200.400.667
Mike Trout CF·1-4411001219.462.650.923
Nolan Schanuel 1B·1-3311102023.313.450.688
Bryce Teodosio LF0-000000000.000.000.000
Jorge Soler RF·1-5511300324.188.350.438
Yoan Moncada 3B·0-4400001127.071.316.071
Jo Adell RF·2-4402100019.313.389.313
Josh Lowe LF·0-4400000420.133.188.400
Travis d'Arnaud C·1-3311000210.333.333.667
Jeimer Candelario 3B0-110000003.000.000.000
Logan O'Hoppe C0-000000000.273.333.273
Adam Frazier 2B·0-3310001120.000.250.000

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jack Kochanowicz SP·4.046553094-5511.2594
Chase Silseth RP1.010001014-100.0014
Sam Bachman RP2.000022034-180.0034
Drew Pomeranz RP1.023320017-1013.5017

Houston Astros

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jeremy Pena SS·0-5500000216.200.200.200
Yordan Alvarez LF·1-2211103020.308.526.615
Jake Meyers CF0-000000000.250.333.375
Isaac Paredes 3B·2-5512200122.188.278.375
Nick Allen SS0-001000000.000.000.000
Jose Altuve 2B·1-3311102123.231.444.308
Carlos Correa SS·0-4400001021.250.333.250
Joey Loperfido LF·1-5511000216.333.333.500
Christian Walker 1B·1-3311201012.308.438.538
Cam Smith RF·0-2220001013.077.294.077
Christian Vazquez C·1-2211201016.500.667.500

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Tatsuya Imai SP·2.234444074-3613.5074
Roddery Munoz RP2.032214147-306.7547
Christian Roa RP0.10000103-36.753
Steven Okert RP1.000010015-90.0015
AJ Blubaugh RP2.000002023-172.0823
Bryan Abreu RP0.101120014-427.0014
Bryan King RP0.210002018-143.3818

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningMoncada struck out looking.
  2. 9th InningFrazier walked.
  3. 9th InningPitch 9 : Strike 3 Looking
  4. 9th InningPitch 5 : Ball 4
  5. 8th InningParedes doubled to right, Alvarez scored and Smith scored.6–8

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningParedes doubled to right, Alvarez scored and Smith scored.6–8
  2. 4th InningNeto homered to left (365 feet), d'Arnaud scored.6–4
  3. 2nd InningAlvarez singled to right, Smith scored, Vázquez to third.0–3
  4. 9th InningSchanuel singled to right, Frazier scored, Trout to third.7–9
  5. 2nd InningVázquez singled to right, Loperfido scored and Walker scored, Smith to third.0–2
  6. 3rd InningAdell singled to left, Soler scored.4–4
  7. 8th InningAltuve doubled to center, Allen scored.6–9
  8. 3rd InningSoler doubled to left, Neto scored, Schanuel scored and Trout scored.3–4
  9. 2nd InningParedes safe at first on throwing error by third baseman Moncada, Vázquez scored, Alvarez to third.0–4
  10. 5th InningWalker doubled to right, Altuve scored and Paredes scored.6–6

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