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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM CT50°F · 9 mph wind · clear⚾ Eric Lauer vs Davis MartinMLB.TV
Result readChicago White Sox

Toronto Blue Jays 0 · Chicago White Sox 3

Final
Toronto Blue Jays18-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
Chicago White Sox19-21-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeRate FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Chicago White Sox gets the model’s nod thanks to Toronto Blue Jays’s margin advantage, with Chicago White Sox’s recent run providing the second tip. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Chicago White Sox at 60%. Actual: Chicago White Sox by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Toronto Blue Jays

Chicago White Sox

Injury Report

Chicago White Sox

Andrew BenintendiDay-To-DayAustin Hays10-Day-ILEverson Pereira10-Day-ILKyle Teel10-Day-ILKy Bush60-Day-IL

Toronto Blue Jays

Javen ColemanDay-To-DayNathan Lukes10-Day-ILCJ StubbsDay-To-DayLazaro Estrada15-Day-ILFernando Perezdevelopmental list
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🏃 TripleVargas tripled to left, Meidroth scored.1st Inning0–1
  2. ScoreHays singled to right, Acuña scored, Hays to second.4th Inning0–3
  3. 🏃 DoubleSosa doubled to left, Murakami scored.3rd Inning0–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Toronto Blue Jays000000000060
Chicago White Sox10110000380

Toronto Blue Jays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
George Springer DH·1-4401000115.158.256.342
Nathan Lukes RF·0-4400000116.133.176.133
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B·1-3301001017.290.436.387
Addison Barger RF·0-3300000014.053.174.105
Jesus Sanchez LF0-110000003.304.407.435
Kazuma Okamoto 3B·0-3300001216.235.333.412
Daulton Varsho CF·1-4401000119.172.250.207
Ernie Clement 2B·2-4402000110.297.297.378
Andres Gimenez SS·0-3300001113.273.333.515
Brandon Valenzuela C·1-3301000215.333.333.333

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Eric Lauer SP·2.032230049-264.9149
Austin Voth RP2.231111049-263.3849
Joe Mantiply RP1.100003017-110.0017
Spencer Miles RP2.020002027-185.7927

Chicago White Sox

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Chase Meidroth 2B·1-4411000118.200.294.367
Austin Hays LF·1-440110009.194.219.323
Munetaka Murakami 1B·0-3310001122.226.342.613
Miguel Vargas 3B·1-4401100012.276.389.552
Edgar Quero C·1-2201002017.211.318.211
Lenyn Sosa 2B·1-330110009.118.118.176
Andrew Benintendi LF0-110000002.190.227.190
Tanner Murray LF·0-220000006.000.000.000
Colson Montgomery SS1-220100019.226.314.419
Luisangel Acuna CF·2-4412000016.269.321.269
Derek Hill RF·0-3300001322.167.375.167

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Davis Martin SP·6.040026085-572.4585
Bryan Hudson RP0.220001019-136.0019
Jordan Leasure RP1.100001019-156.3519
Chris Murphy RP1.000011015-910.1315

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningOkamoto walked.
  2. 7th InningValenzuela struck out swinging.
  3. 5th InningMontgomery struck out swinging.

Scoring Plays

  1. 1st InningVargas tripled to left, Meidroth scored.0–1
  2. 4th InningHays singled to right, Acuña scored, Hays to second.0–3
  3. 3rd InningSosa doubled to left, Murakami scored.0–2

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