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InTheRafters.com

HOU @ COL

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM MT⚾ Cristian Javier vs Michael LorenzenESPN UnlmtdMLB.TVRockies.TV
Result readColorado Rockies

Houston Astros 1 · Colorado Rockies 9

Final
Houston Astros16-25-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 43% · last 10: 50%
Colorado Rockies16-25-2-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 25%
Venue EdgeCoors FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Colorado Rockies gets the model’s nod thanks to Houston Astros’s margin advantage, with Houston Astros’s recent run providing the second tip. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Houston Astros at 80%. Actual: Colorado Rockies by 8.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Houston Astros

Colorado Rockies

Injury Report

Colorado Rockies

Jimmy HergetBereavementJared ThomasDay-To-DayMcCade Brown60-Day-ILJeff Criswell60-Day-ILRyan Feltner15-Day-IL

Houston Astros

Tatsuya Imai15-Day-ILLance McCullers Jr.Day-To-DayWalker JanekDay-To-DayLucas SpenceDay-To-DayYainer Diaz10-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Houston Astros
YA Yordan Alvarez LF · #44 DJ Daniel Johnson CF · #31 CS Cam Smith RF · #11 IP Isaac Paredes 3B · #15 CC Carlos Correa SS · #1 JA Jose Altuve 2B · #27 CW C. Walker 1B · #8 MB Mike Burrows P · #50 YD Yainer Diaz C · #21
Colorado Rockies
MM Mickey Moniak LF · #22 BD Brenton Doyle CF · #9 TJ Troy Johnston RF · #20 KK Kyle Karros 3B · #12 ET Ezequiel Tovar SS · #14 EJ Edouard Julien 2B · #6 TR TJ Rumfield 1B · #7 ML M. Lorenzen P · #24 HG Hunter Goodman C · #15

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreJulien scored on Blubaugh wild pitch, Goodman to third on wild pitch by Blubaugh.2nd Inning1–5
  2. ScoreJulien scored on Blubaugh wild pitch, Goodman to third on wild pitch by Blubaugh.2nd Inning1–5
  3. ScoreFreeman singled to left, Julien scored.1st Inning0–1
  4. ScoreMatthews singled to left, Paredes scored, Walker to second.2nd Inning1–1
  5. ScoreRumfield hit sacrifice fly to center, Freeman scored, Moniak to third.6th Inning1–8
  6. 🏃 DoubleTovar doubled to center, Goodman scored, Rumfield to third.2nd Inning1–6

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Houston Astros010000000180
Colorado Rockies15010101—9100

Houston Astros

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jeremy Pena SS·1-5501000125.257.316.371
Yordan Alvarez LF·1-4401000015.317.500.683
Jose Altuve 2B·1-4401000016.333.474.556
Isaac Paredes 3B·0-3310001014.207.324.345
Christian Walker 1B·2-440200007.340.400.640
Cam Smith RF·0-4400000210.273.385.523
Joey Loperfido LF·1-4401000221.273.342.364
Jake Meyers CF·0-000000004.243.326.378
Brice Matthews LF1-3301101115.136.240.318
Christian Vazquez C·1-4401000017.300.333.550

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Cristian Javier SP·1.031101020-1412.5420
AJ Blubaugh RP1.045530039-2310.8039
Enyel De Los Santos RP2.021112142-253.0042
Christian Roa RP1.201131034-133.8634
Kai-Wei Teng RP1.100001018-122.3518
Bryan Abreu RP1.011122022-1119.6422

Colorado Rockies

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Edouard Julien 2B·2-4422201018.261.320.304
Tyler Freeman RF·1-3311100124.375.444.375
Mickey Moniak LF·1-3301101011.286.304.714
Hunter Goodman C·1-2231112015.250.327.409
TJ Rumfield 1B·0-2200101126.368.432.605
Jake McCarthy LF0-000000104.120.214.200
Ezequiel Tovar SS·2-5502100223.261.277.413
Troy Johnston RF·2-4412101019.342.375.579
Brenton Doyle CF·1-5511000317.139.205.167
Kyle Karros 3B·0-2210002018.212.333.242

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Michael Lorenzen SP·5.2711240100-629.00100
Zach Agnos RP3.110002044-296.4344

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 2nd InningRumfield walked.
  2. 2nd InningPitch 10 : Ball 4
  3. 2nd InningPitch 9 : Ball 3
  4. 7th InningPeña flied out to second.
  5. 2nd InningJulien scored on Blubaugh wild pitch, Goodman to third on wild pitch by Blubaugh.1–5
  6. 7th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
  7. 2nd InningJulien scored on Blubaugh wild pitch, Goodman to third on wild pitch by Blubaugh.1–5
  8. 1st InningFreeman singled to left, Julien scored.0–1
  9. 7th InningPitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul

Scoring Plays

  1. 2nd InningJulien scored on Blubaugh wild pitch, Goodman to third on wild pitch by Blubaugh.1–5
  2. 2nd InningJulien scored on Blubaugh wild pitch, Goodman to third on wild pitch by Blubaugh.1–5
  3. 1st InningFreeman singled to left, Julien scored.0–1
  4. 2nd InningMatthews singled to left, Paredes scored, Walker to second.1–1
  5. 6th InningRumfield hit sacrifice fly to center, Freeman scored, Moniak to third.1–8
  6. 2nd InningTovar doubled to center, Goodman scored, Rumfield to third.1–6
  7. 2nd InningMoniak hit sacrifice fly to right, Karros scored, Julien to third.1–4
  8. 8th InningJohnston singled to center, Goodman scored, McCarthy to third.1–9
  9. 4th InningGoodman homered to left (378 feet).1–7
  10. 2nd InningJulien singled to left, Doyle scored, Johnston scored and Johnston scored, Karros to second.1–3

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