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InTheRafters.com

COL @ HOU

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor7:10 PM CT⚾ Michael Lorenzen vs Colton GordonMLB.TVRockies.TV
Result readHouston Astros

Colorado Rockies 6 · Houston Astros 7

Final
Colorado Rockies16-25-2-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 25%
Houston Astros16-25-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 43% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeDaikin ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Houston Astros on the back of Houston Astros’s margin work and Houston Astros’s last-ten momentum. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Houston Astros at 70%. Actual: Houston Astros by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Colorado Rockies

Houston Astros

Injury Report

Houston Astros

Tatsuya Imai15-Day-ILLance McCullers Jr.Day-To-DayWalker JanekDay-To-DayLucas SpenceDay-To-DayYainer Diaz10-Day-IL

Colorado Rockies

Jimmy HergetBereavementJared ThomasDay-To-DayMcCade Brown60-Day-ILJeff Criswell60-Day-ILRyan Feltner15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Colorado Rockies
MM Mickey Moniak LF · #22 BD Brenton Doyle CF · #9 TJ Troy Johnston RF · #20 KK Kyle Karros 3B · #12 ET Ezequiel Tovar SS · #14 EJ Edouard Julien 2B · #6 TR TJ Rumfield 1B · #7 ML M. Lorenzen P · #24 HG Hunter Goodman C · #15
Houston Astros
YA Yordan Alvarez LF · #44 DJ Daniel Johnson CF · #31 CS Cam Smith RF · #11 IP Isaac Paredes 3B · #15 CC Carlos Correa SS · #1 JA Jose Altuve 2B · #27 CW C. Walker 1B · #8 MB Mike Burrows P · #50 YD Yainer Diaz C · #21

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreJohnston singled to center, Tovar scored, Julien to second.8th Inning6–7
  2. ScoreWalker homered to left (422 feet).2nd Inning3–1
  3. ScoreVázquez singled to left, Smith scored, Loperfido to second.3rd Inning3–7
  4. ScoreLoperfido singled to right, Walker scored, Smith to third.3rd Inning3–6
  5. ScoreSmith singled to right, Correa scored, Walker to second.3rd Inning3–5
  6. ScoreBeck homered to right (359 feet).4th Inning4–7

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Colorado Rockies1201100106121
Houston Astros01600000—7110

Colorado Rockies

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Tyler Freeman RF·0-3300001114.261.370.261
Brenton Doyle CF·1-220100019.188.264.271
Mickey Moniak LF0-3300000013.243.256.649
Hunter Goodman C·2-5522220320.254.333.475
Willi Castro 2B·0-5500000318.200.254.309
TJ Rumfield 1B·1-4401001022.304.365.464
Brett Sullivan C0-000000000.280.308.400
Ezequiel Tovar SS·1-4411001221.258.290.409
Jordan Beck LF·2-5522110124.143.211.257
Kyle Karros 3B·2-3312001018.213.327.234
Edouard Julien 2B0-000000000.314.385.429
Jake McCarthy LF·2-3302200110.188.278.313
Troy Johnston RF1-110110003.298.340.489

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Michael Lorenzen SP·2.277213171-508.1071
Antonio Senzatela RP3.120003043-320.0043
Juan Mejia RP1.020001013-85.4013
Zach Agnos RP1.00000209-76.759

Houston Astros

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jose Altuve 2B·0-5510000210.288.405.455
Yordan Alvarez LF·1-4411200114.317.475.700
Isaac Paredes 3B·0-3300001021.234.345.319
Carlos Correa SS·1-4411000010.288.354.390
Christian Walker 1B·3-4423210016.313.389.594
Cam Smith RF·1-4411100111.281.361.484
Joey Loperfido LF·2-4402100120.313.382.417
Brice Matthews LF·0-220000016.125.222.292
Taylor Trammell CF1-220100017.308.400.385
Christian Vazquez C·2-4412100221.370.393.630

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Colton Gordon SP·3.284405268-509.8268
AJ Blubaugh RP1.111111127-169.2827
Steven Okert RP1.000011014-84.3214
Kai-Wei Teng RP1.101122030-192.7930
Bryan King RP1.130002028-201.1328
Enyel De Los Santos RP0.10000105-31.595

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningTrammell struck out swinging.
  2. 8th InningPitch 4 : Strike 3 Swinging
  3. 8th InningTovar walked.
  4. 5th InningRumfield walked.
  5. 4th InningKarros singled to right.

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningJohnston singled to center, Tovar scored, Julien to second.6–7
  2. 2nd InningWalker homered to left (422 feet).3–1
  3. 3rd InningVázquez singled to left, Smith scored, Loperfido to second.3–7
  4. 3rd InningLoperfido singled to right, Walker scored, Smith to third.3–6
  5. 3rd InningSmith singled to right, Correa scored, Walker to second.3–5
  6. 4th InningBeck homered to right (359 feet).4–7
  7. 3rd InningAlvarez doubled to right, Altuve scored and Vázquez scored.3–3
  8. 5th InningGoodman homered to left center (396 feet).5–7
  9. 1st InningGoodman homered to left (377 feet).1–0
  10. 3rd InningWalker grounded into fielder's choice to third, Alvarez scored, Correa to second.3–4
  11. 2nd InningMcCarthy tripled to center, Beck scored and Karros scored.3–0

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