COL @ HOU
Daikin Park · Houston, Texas
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameIndoor7:10 PM CT⚾ Jose Quintana vs Spencer ArrighettiMLB.TVRockies.TV
Result readHouston Astros
Colorado Rockies 1 · Houston Astros 3
Final
Colorado Rockies16-25-2-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 25%
Houston Astros16-25-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 43% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeDaikin ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Houston Astros is the model’s call — Houston Astros on the margin numbers, Houston Astros on the form numbers. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Houston Astros at 70%. Actual: Houston Astros by 2.
Pre-game pick: Houston Astros at 70%. Actual: Houston Astros by 2.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Colorado Rockies
- Michael Lorenzen SP · #24
- Tomoyuki Sugano SP · #11
- Jimmy Herget RP · #44
- Brennan Bernardino RP · #83
Houston Astros
- Mike Burrows SP · #50
- Lance McCullers Jr. SP · #43
- Kai-Wei Teng RP · #17
- Christian Walker 1B · #8
Injury Report
Houston Astros
Tatsuya Imai15-Day-ILLance McCullers Jr.Day-To-DayWalker JanekDay-To-DayLucas SpenceDay-To-DayYainer Diaz10-Day-IL
Colorado Rockies
Jimmy HergetBereavementJared ThomasDay-To-DayMcCade Brown60-Day-ILJeff Criswell60-Day-ILRyan Feltner15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreAlvarez homered to right (375 feet).1–3
- 🏃 DoubleCastro doubled to center, Tovar scored.1–2
- ScoreSmith hit sacrifice fly to left, Alvarez scored.0–2
- ScoreWalker hit sacrifice fly to right, Correa scored, Alvarez to third.0–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Houston Astros | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 3 | 5 | 0 |
Colorado Rockies
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edouard Julien 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | .282 | .364 | .385 |
| Mickey Moniak LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | .250 | .262 | .650 |
| Brenton Doyle CF | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | .200 | .273 | .280 |
| Hunter Goodman C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | .238 | .314 | .444 |
| Troy Johnston RF· | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | .298 | .365 | .489 |
| Kyle Karros 3B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | .208 | .333 | .229 |
| TJ Rumfield 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .283 | .343 | .433 |
| Ezequiel Tovar SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | .246 | .288 | .391 |
| Willi Castro 2B· | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .214 | .279 | .339 |
| Tyler Freeman RF | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .240 | .345 | .240 |
| Jake McCarthy LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .200 | .300 | .314 |
| Jordan Beck LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .132 | .195 | .237 |
| Brett Sullivan C | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | .269 | .296 | .385 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Quintana SP· | 3.2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 75-41 | 5.63 | 75 |
| Jaden Hill RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11-5 | 1.35 | 11 |
| Tanner Gordon RP | 4.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 60-40 | 0.00 | 60 |
Houston Astros
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Correa SS· | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21 | .279 | .362 | .377 |
| Yordan Alvarez LF· | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | .333 | .488 | .762 |
| Isaac Paredes 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | .220 | .339 | .300 |
| Christian Walker 1B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | .303 | .382 | .576 |
| Cam Smith RF· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .288 | .368 | .500 |
| Yainer Diaz C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .200 | .237 | .273 |
| Joey Loperfido LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .288 | .356 | .385 |
| Nick Allen SS· | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .263 | .333 | .316 |
| Brice Matthews LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | .111 | .200 | .259 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Arrighetti SP· | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 100-61 | 1.50 | 100 |
| Steven Okert RP | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7-6 | 4.00 | 7 |
| Bryan Abreu RP | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 23-11 | 12.79 | 23 |
| Enyel De Los Santos RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14-11 | 1.35 | 14 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 7th InningKarros walked.
- 6th InningMatthews struck out swinging.
- 9th InningSullivan struck out swinging.
- 7th InningPitch 4 : Ball 4
- 6th InningPitch 9 : Strike 3 Swinging
Scoring Plays
- 3rd InningAlvarez homered to right (375 feet).1–3
- 2nd InningCastro doubled to center, Tovar scored.1–2
- 1st InningSmith hit sacrifice fly to left, Alvarez scored.0–2
- 1st InningWalker hit sacrifice fly to right, Correa scored, Alvarez to third.0–1