COL @ HOU
Daikin Park · Houston, Texas
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameIndoor7:10 PM CT⚾ Juan Mejia vs Ryan WeissMLB.TVRockies.TV
Result readColorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies 3 · Houston Astros 2
Final
Colorado Rockies16-25-2-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 25%
Houston Astros16-25-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 43% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeDaikin ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Colorado Rockies gets the model’s nod thanks to Houston Astros’s margin advantage, with Houston Astros’s recent run providing the second tip. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Houston Astros at 71%. Actual: Colorado Rockies by 1.
Pre-game pick: Houston Astros at 71%. Actual: Colorado Rockies by 1.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Colorado Rockies
- Michael Lorenzen SP · #24
- Tomoyuki Sugano SP · #11
- Jimmy Herget RP · #44
- Brennan Bernardino RP · #83
Houston Astros
- Mike Burrows SP · #50
- Lance McCullers Jr. SP · #43
- Kai-Wei Teng RP · #17
- Christian Walker 1B · #8
Injury Report
Houston Astros
Tatsuya Imai15-Day-ILLance McCullers Jr.Day-To-DayWalker JanekDay-To-DayLucas SpenceDay-To-DayYainer Diaz10-Day-IL
Colorado Rockies
Jimmy HergetBereavementJared ThomasDay-To-DayMcCade Brown60-Day-ILJeff Criswell60-Day-ILRyan Feltner15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreAlvarez singled to left, Altuve scored, Alvarez to second.0–1
- ScoreGoodman homered to left center (397 feet).2–2
- ScoreFreeman singled to center, Doyle scored.3–2
- ScoreLoperfido singled to center, Alvarez scored, Walker to third.0–2
- ScoreFreeman grounded into double play, third to second to first, Karros scored, Julien out at second, Doyle to third.1–2
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| Houston Astros | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Colorado Rockies
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edouard Julien 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | .256 | .347 | .349 |
| Tyler Freeman RF· | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .300 | .382 | .300 |
| Jake McCarthy LF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .300 | .314 |
| TJ Rumfield 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 27 | .266 | .333 | .406 |
| Hunter Goodman C· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | .258 | .338 | .515 |
| Mickey Moniak LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | .256 | .283 | .628 |
| Ezequiel Tovar SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .233 | .273 | .370 |
| Troy Johnston RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .294 | .357 | .471 |
| Kyle Karros 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .196 | .328 | .216 |
| Brenton Doyle CF· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | .226 | .305 | .302 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Mejia RP· | 0.2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 30-18 | 7.00 | 30 |
| Chase Dollander SP | 5.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 86-55 | 3.32 | 86 |
| Jaden Hill RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21-14 | 1.17 | 21 |
| Jimmy Herget RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23-13 | 1.80 | 23 |
| Victor Vodnik RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14-8 | 2.25 | 14 |
Houston Astros
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve 2B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | .300 | .417 | .471 |
| Yordan Alvarez LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .328 | .483 | .731 |
| Isaac Paredes 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 32 | .208 | .344 | .283 |
| Carlos Correa SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | .277 | .356 | .385 |
| Christian Walker 1B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | .294 | .388 | .559 |
| Nick Allen SS | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .263 | .333 | .316 |
| Joey Loperfido LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .291 | .365 | .382 |
| Cam Smith RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .271 | .350 | .471 |
| Taylor Trammell CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .250 | .368 | .313 |
| Yainer Diaz C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .186 | .222 | .254 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Weiss RP· | 3.2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 76-45 | 6.75 | 76 |
| Christian Roa RP | 1.1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26-17 | 5.19 | 26 |
| AJ Blubaugh RP | 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 39-21 | 7.82 | 39 |
| Kai-Wei Teng RP | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21-18 | 2.31 | 21 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 5th InningJulien flied out to center, Doyle to third.
- 3rd InningRumfield popped out to first.
- 5th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
- 3rd InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play
- 8th InningWalker walked.
- 7th InningParedes walked, Alvarez to second, Altuve to third.
Scoring Plays
- 1st InningAlvarez singled to left, Altuve scored, Alvarez to second.0–1
- 4th InningGoodman homered to left center (397 feet).2–2
- 5th InningFreeman singled to center, Doyle scored.3–2
- 1st InningLoperfido singled to center, Alvarez scored, Walker to third.0–2
- 3rd InningFreeman grounded into double play, third to second to first, Karros scored, Julien out at second, Doyle to third.1–2