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InTheRafters.com

COL @ HOU

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor7:10 PM CT⚾ Juan Mejia vs Ryan WeissMLB.TVRockies.TV
Result readColorado Rockies

Colorado Rockies 3 · Houston Astros 2

Final
Colorado Rockies16-25-2-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 25%
Houston Astros16-25-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 43% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeDaikin ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Colorado Rockies gets the model’s nod thanks to Houston Astros’s margin advantage, with Houston Astros’s recent run providing the second tip. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Houston Astros at 71%. Actual: Colorado Rockies by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Colorado Rockies

Houston Astros

Injury Report

Houston Astros

Tatsuya Imai15-Day-ILLance McCullers Jr.Day-To-DayWalker JanekDay-To-DayLucas SpenceDay-To-DayYainer Diaz10-Day-IL

Colorado Rockies

Jimmy HergetBereavementJared ThomasDay-To-DayMcCade Brown60-Day-ILJeff Criswell60-Day-ILRyan Feltner15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Colorado Rockies
MM Mickey Moniak LF · #22 BD Brenton Doyle CF · #9 TJ Troy Johnston RF · #20 KK Kyle Karros 3B · #12 ET Ezequiel Tovar SS · #14 EJ Edouard Julien 2B · #6 TR TJ Rumfield 1B · #7 ML M. Lorenzen P · #24 HG Hunter Goodman C · #15
Houston Astros
YA Yordan Alvarez LF · #44 DJ Daniel Johnson CF · #31 CS Cam Smith RF · #11 IP Isaac Paredes 3B · #15 CC Carlos Correa SS · #1 JA Jose Altuve 2B · #27 CW C. Walker 1B · #8 MB Mike Burrows P · #50 YD Yainer Diaz C · #21

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreAlvarez singled to left, Altuve scored, Alvarez to second.1st Inning0–1
  2. ScoreGoodman homered to left center (397 feet).4th Inning2–2
  3. ScoreFreeman singled to center, Doyle scored.5th Inning3–2
  4. ScoreLoperfido singled to center, Alvarez scored, Walker to third.1st Inning0–2
  5. ScoreFreeman grounded into double play, third to second to first, Karros scored, Julien out at second, Doyle to third.3rd Inning1–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Colorado Rockies001110000390
Houston Astros200000000250

Colorado Rockies

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Edouard Julien 2B·0-4400001224.256.347.349
Tyler Freeman RF·3-5503100018.300.382.300
Jake McCarthy LF0-000000000.200.300.314
TJ Rumfield 1B·0-4400001027.266.333.406
Hunter Goodman C·2-3312111116.258.338.515
Mickey Moniak LF·1-3301001116.256.283.628
Ezequiel Tovar SS·0-4400000014.233.273.370
Troy Johnston RF·1-4401000116.294.357.471
Kyle Karros 3B·0-3310001018.196.328.216
Brenton Doyle CF·2-3312001013.226.305.302

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Juan Mejia RP·0.232202030-187.0030
Chase Dollander SP5.110029086-553.3286
Jaden Hill RP1.010021021-141.1721
Jimmy Herget RP1.000011023-131.8023
Victor Vodnik RP1.000010014-82.2514

Houston Astros

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jose Altuve 2B·2-4412001219.300.417.471
Yordan Alvarez LF·1-4411101115.328.483.731
Isaac Paredes 3B·0-3300002232.208.344.283
Carlos Correa SS·1-4401000223.277.356.385
Christian Walker 1B·0-2200001122.294.388.559
Nick Allen SS0-000000000.263.333.316
Joey Loperfido LF·1-3301100114.291.365.382
Cam Smith RF·0-4400000216.271.350.471
Taylor Trammell CF·0-3300001016.250.368.313
Yainer Diaz C·0-4400000217.186.222.254

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Ryan Weiss RP·3.232243176-456.7576
Christian Roa RP1.131100026-175.1926
AJ Blubaugh RP2.020022039-217.8239
Kai-Wei Teng RP2.010000021-182.3121

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 5th InningJulien flied out to center, Doyle to third.
  2. 3rd InningRumfield popped out to first.
  3. 5th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
  4. 3rd InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play
  5. 8th InningWalker walked.
  6. 7th InningParedes walked, Alvarez to second, Altuve to third.

Scoring Plays

  1. 1st InningAlvarez singled to left, Altuve scored, Alvarez to second.0–1
  2. 4th InningGoodman homered to left center (397 feet).2–2
  3. 5th InningFreeman singled to center, Doyle scored.3–2
  4. 1st InningLoperfido singled to center, Alvarez scored, Walker to third.0–2
  5. 3rd InningFreeman grounded into double play, third to second to first, Karros scored, Julien out at second, Doyle to third.1–2

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