TOR @ LAA
Angel Stadium · Anaheim, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:38 PM PT59°F · 2 mph wind · clear⚾ Dylan Cease vs Reid DetmersMLB.TV
Result readToronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays 5 · Los Angeles Angels 2
Final
Toronto Blue Jays18-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeAngel StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to Toronto Blue Jays on the back of Toronto Blue Jays’s margin work and Los Angeles Angels’s last-ten momentum. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Toronto Blue Jays at 67%. Actual: Toronto Blue Jays by 3.
Pre-game pick: Toronto Blue Jays at 67%. Actual: Toronto Blue Jays by 3.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Toronto Blue Jays
- Kevin Gausman SP · #34
- Dylan Cease SP · #84
- Braydon Fisher RP · #63
- Mason Fluharty RP · #68
Los Angeles Angels
- Jose Soriano SP · #59
- Yusei Kikuchi SP · #16
- Brent Suter RP · #37
- Jo Adell RF · #7
Injury Report
Los Angeles Angels
Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL
Toronto Blue Jays
Javen ColemanDay-To-DayNathan Lukes10-Day-ILCJ StubbsDay-To-DayLazaro Estrada15-Day-ILFernando Perezdevelopmental list
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreSchanuel hit sacrifice fly to center, Neto scored.2–2
- ScoreSoler singled to left, Schanuel scored.0–1
- ScoreLukes singled to left, Straw scored.4–2
- ScoreLukes grounded out to pitcher, Straw scored.5–2
- ScoreSosa hit sacrifice fly to left, Guerrero Jr. scored.3–2
- ScoreGuerrero Jr. homered to center (430 feet), Schneider scored.2–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Blue Jays | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Toronto Blue Jays
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider LF· | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | .182 | .341 | .333 |
| Nathan Lukes RF | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .227 | .255 | .273 |
| Ernie Clement 2B· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .297 | .304 | .396 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B· | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .354 | .442 | .488 |
| Eloy Jimenez DH· | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .368 | .429 | .368 |
| Jesus Sanchez LF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .258 | .311 | .394 |
| Kazuma Okamoto 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | .213 | .292 | .350 |
| Lenyn Sosa 2B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .231 | .214 | .308 |
| Andres Gimenez SS | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .269 | .301 | .449 |
| Daulton Varsho CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .250 | .329 | .441 |
| Myles Straw RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .345 | .406 | .483 |
| Tyler Heineman C· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .241 | .290 | .241 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease SP· | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 110-69 | 2.10 | 110 |
| Braydon Fisher RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12-8 | 0.71 | 12 |
| Louis Varland RP | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 20-14 | 0.00 | 20 |
| Tyler Rogers RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9-7 | 0.79 | 9 |
| Jeff Hoffman RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 17-12 | 6.97 | 17 |
Los Angeles Angels
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Neto SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | .247 | .375 | .462 |
| Mike Trout CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | .235 | .415 | .543 |
| Nolan Schanuel 1B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .226 | .302 | .333 |
| Jorge Soler RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | .233 | .333 | .479 |
| Yoan Moncada 3B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | .164 | .325 | .328 |
| Jo Adell RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .278 | .320 | .392 |
| Josh Lowe LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .161 | .232 | .323 |
| Logan O'Hoppe C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | .197 | .316 | .258 |
| Adam Frazier 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | .270 | .386 | .432 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Detmers SP· | 6.0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 90-59 | 4.08 | 90 |
| Chase Silseth RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12-8 | 2.08 | 12 |
| Shaun Anderson RP | 2.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26-17 | 5.52 | 26 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 3rd InningSchanuel hit sacrifice fly to center, Neto scored.2–2
- 6th InningMoncada walked.
- 3rd InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
- 6th InningPitch 8 : Ball 4
Scoring Plays
- 3rd InningSchanuel hit sacrifice fly to center, Neto scored.2–2
- 1st InningSoler singled to left, Schanuel scored.0–1
- 7th InningLukes singled to left, Straw scored.4–2
- 9th InningLukes grounded out to pitcher, Straw scored.5–2
- 6th InningSosa hit sacrifice fly to left, Guerrero Jr. scored.3–2
- 3rd InningGuerrero Jr. homered to center (430 feet), Schneider scored.2–1