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InTheRafters.com

TOR @ LAA

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:38 PM PT58°F · clear⚾ Patrick Corbin vs Jack KochanowiczESPN UnlmtdMLB.TV
Result readToronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue Jays 4 · Los Angeles Angels 2

Final
Toronto Blue Jays18-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeAngel StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans Toronto Blue Jays because Toronto Blue Jays owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Los Angeles Angels has the recent-form edge. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Toronto Blue Jays at 68%. Actual: Toronto Blue Jays by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Toronto Blue Jays

Los Angeles Angels

Injury Report

Los Angeles Angels

Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL

Toronto Blue Jays

Javen ColemanDay-To-DayNathan Lukes10-Day-ILCJ StubbsDay-To-DayLazaro Estrada15-Day-ILFernando Perezdevelopmental list
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Toronto Blue Jays
JS Jesus Sanchez LF · #12 DV Daulton Varsho CF · #5 MS Myles Straw RF · #3 KO Kazuma Okamoto 3B · #7 AG Andres Gimenez SS · #0 EC Ernie Clement 2B · #22 VG Guerrero Jr. 1B · #27 KG Kevin Gausman P · #34 TH Tyler Heineman C · #55
Los Angeles Angels
JL Josh Lowe LF · #3 MT Mike Trout CF · #27 JA Jo Adell RF · #7 YM Yoan Moncada 3B · #10 ZN Zach Neto SS · #9 OP Oswald Peraza 2B · #2 NS Nolan Schanuel 1B · #18 JS Jose Soriano P · #59 TD T. d'Arnaud C · #25

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreMoncada singled to right, Trout scored, Soler to second, Adell to third.9th Inning4–2
  2. ScoreJiménez singled to right, Schneider scored.8th Inning4–1
  3. 🏃 DoubleSosa doubled to right, Guerrero Jr. scored and Clement scored.8th Inning3–1
  4. ScoreJiménez hit sacrifice fly to left, Guerrero Jr. scored.6th Inning1–1
  5. ScoreGrissom hit sacrifice fly to center, Peraza scored.5th Inning0–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Toronto Blue Jays000001030480
Los Angeles Angels000010001250

Toronto Blue Jays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Nathan Lukes RF·0-2200000013.217.260.261
Myles Straw RF0-220000004.323.382.452
Ernie Clement 2B·2-4412000118.305.313.411
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B·1-3321001012.353.444.482
Jesus Sanchez LF·1-2201001012.265.325.397
Lenyn Sosa 2B1-110120003.286.267.429
Davis Schneider LF0-001000000.182.341.333
Eloy Jimenez DH·1-2201201011.381.440.381
Daulton Varsho CF·2-4402000116.264.338.444
Kazuma Okamoto 3B·0-4400000115.202.280.333
Andres Gimenez SS·0-4400000112.256.287.427
Brandon Valenzuela C·0-4400000012.161.188.258

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Patrick Corbin SP·5.021123065-403.6865
Spencer Miles RP1.110001022-163.0922
Mason Fluharty RP0.20000107-56.237
Tyler Rogers RP1.000000012-100.7312
Jeff Hoffman RP0.121101018-127.5918
Louis Varland RP0.20000001-10.001

Los Angeles Angels

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Zach Neto SS·0-4400000219.237.362.443
Mike Trout CF·1-4411000012.235.409.529
Jo Adell RF·0-3300000113.270.318.380
Jorge Soler RF·0-3300000018.224.330.461
Oswald Peraza 2B·2-331200016.292.361.538
Yoan Moncada 3B1-110110003.176.333.338
Nolan Schanuel 1B·1-4401000116.227.300.330
Vaughn Grissom 2B·0-000010109.250.435.250
Adam Frazier 2B0-110000001.263.378.421
Logan O'Hoppe C·0-2200001019.191.317.250
Bryce Teodosio LF·0-220000015.095.136.095
Josh Lowe LF0-110000004.159.229.317

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jack Kochanowicz SP·5.251121088-563.1088
Sam Bachman RP1.100001013-82.6313
Drew Pomeranz RP1.033311018-137.0018
Nick Sandlin RP1.00000109-712.469

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 7th InningSchanuel struck out swinging, Peraza caught stealing second, catcher to shortstop.
  2. 6th InningAdell struck out looking.
  3. 6th InningVarsho struck out swinging.

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningMoncada singled to right, Trout scored, Soler to second, Adell to third.4–2
  2. 8th InningJiménez singled to right, Schneider scored.4–1
  3. 8th InningSosa doubled to right, Guerrero Jr. scored and Clement scored.3–1
  4. 6th InningJiménez hit sacrifice fly to left, Guerrero Jr. scored.1–1
  5. 5th InningGrissom hit sacrifice fly to center, Peraza scored.0–1

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