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In The Rafters

HOU @ CLE

Joshua Silvia
11–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM ET60°F · 6 mph wind · clear⚾ Peter Lambert vs Tanner BibeeMLB.TVCLEGuardians.TV
Result readHouston Astros

Houston Astros 2 · Cleveland Guardians 0

Final
Houston Astros16-25-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 43% · last 10: 50%
Cleveland Guardians21-21-1-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeProgressive FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Houston Astros on the back of Cleveland Guardians’s margin work and Cleveland Guardians’s last-ten momentum. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Cleveland Guardians at 63%. Actual: Houston Astros by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Houston Astros

Cleveland Guardians

Injury Report

Cleveland Guardians

Gabriel Arias10-Day-ILShawn Armstrong15-Day-ILAndrew Walters15-Day-ILCarlos HernandezDay-To-Day

Houston Astros

Tatsuya Imai15-Day-ILLance McCullers Jr.Day-To-DayWalker JanekDay-To-DayLucas SpenceDay-To-DayYainer Diaz10-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Houston Astros
YA Yordan Alvarez LF · #44 DJ Daniel Johnson CF · #31 CS Cam Smith RF · #11 IP Isaac Paredes 3B · #15 CC Carlos Correa SS · #1 JA Jose Altuve 2B · #27 CW C. Walker 1B · #8 MB Mike Burrows P · #50 YD Yainer Diaz C · #21
Cleveland Guardians
AM Angel Martinez LF · #1 SK Steven Kwan CF · #38 CD Chase DeLauter RF · #24 JR Jose Ramirez 3B · #11 BR Brayan Rocchio SS · #4 TB Travis Bazzana 2B · #37 KM Kyle Manzardo 1B · #9 GW Gavin Williams P · #32 BN Bo Naylor C · #23

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreAlvarez homered to right center (422 feet), Correa scored.1st Inning2–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Houston Astros200000000261
Cleveland Guardians000000000050

Houston Astros

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Carlos Correa SS·1-4411000117.284.366.386
Yordan Alvarez LF·3-4413210017.347.466.779
Jose Altuve 2B·0-440000009.255.354.408
Christian Walker 1B·1-3301001013.264.358.505
Isaac Paredes 3B·1-4401000119.227.333.360
Cam Smith RF·0-4400000221.239.324.398
Daniel Johnson CF·0-4400000112.000.333.000
Christian Vazquez C·0-3300001116.343.425.629
Brice Matthews LF·0-2200001011.167.268.333

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Peter Lambert SP·6.030038096-613.2796
AJ Blubaugh RP1.000001017-106.1917
Steven Okert RP0.210000016-113.0016
Enyel De Los Santos RP1.110011024-163.8624

Cleveland Guardians

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Steven Kwan CF·1-3301001022.227.315.289
Chase DeLauter RF·2-4402000014.235.330.506
Jose Ramirez 3B·1-4401000216.234.363.479
Kyle Manzardo 1B·0-2200001216.194.284.250
Rhys Hoskins 1B0-110000014.211.348.351
George Valera LF·0-4400000016.231.259.308
Daniel Schneemann CF·1-3301001218.310.394.517
Juan Brito 2B·0-330000029.159.229.227
Angel Martinez LF0-110000004.271.320.457
Bo Naylor C·0-3300001119.130.203.204
Brayan Rocchio SS·0-4400000015.269.367.423

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Tanner Bibee SP·6.052223195-594.4595
Matt Festa RP1.000012018-95.8418
Hunter Gaddis RP1.00000005-44.505
Erik Sabrowski RP1.010001017-143.0917

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 4th InningValera safe at first on fielding error by second baseman Altuve.
  2. 8th InningDeLauter singled to right.
  3. 4th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play

Scoring Plays

  1. 1st InningAlvarez homered to right center (422 feet), Correa scored.2–0

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