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In The Rafters

CLE @ TOR

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor7:07 PM ET⚾ Gavin Williams vs Max ScherzerMLB.TVCLEGuardians.TV
Result readCleveland Guardians

Cleveland Guardians 8 · Toronto Blue Jays 6

Final
Cleveland Guardians21-21-1-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Toronto Blue Jays18-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeRogers CentreHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Cleveland Guardians on the back of Cleveland Guardians’s margin work and Cleveland Guardians’s last-ten momentum. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Cleveland Guardians at 52%. Actual: Cleveland Guardians by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Cleveland Guardians

Toronto Blue Jays

Injury Report

Toronto Blue Jays

Javen ColemanDay-To-DayNathan Lukes10-Day-ILCJ StubbsDay-To-DayLazaro Estrada15-Day-ILFernando Perezdevelopmental list

Cleveland Guardians

Gabriel Arias10-Day-ILShawn Armstrong15-Day-ILAndrew Walters15-Day-ILCarlos HernandezDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Cleveland Guardians
AM Angel Martinez LF · #1 SK Steven Kwan CF · #38 CD Chase DeLauter RF · #24 JR Jose Ramirez 3B · #11 BR Brayan Rocchio SS · #4 TB Travis Bazzana 2B · #37 KM Kyle Manzardo 1B · #9 GW Gavin Williams P · #32 BN Bo Naylor C · #23
Toronto Blue Jays
JS Jesus Sanchez LF · #12 DV Daulton Varsho CF · #5 MS Myles Straw RF · #3 KO Kazuma Okamoto 3B · #7 AG Andres Gimenez SS · #0 EC Ernie Clement 2B · #22 VG Guerrero Jr. 1B · #27 KG Kevin Gausman P · #34 TH Tyler Heineman C · #55

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreMartínez homered to right center (398 feet), Hoskins scored.3rd Inning7–3
  2. ScoreSchneemann homered to right (366 feet).1st Inning1–0
  3. ScoreSánchez homered to center (422 feet).1st Inning5–2
  4. 🏃 DoubleClement doubled to left, Schneider scored.5th Inning7–4
  5. ScoreMartínez homered to right center (388 feet), Valera scored.1st Inning5–0
  6. 🏃 DoubleValera doubled to right, Hoskins scored and Ramírez scored.1st Inning3–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Cleveland Guardians5020010008100
Toronto Blue Jays210012000690

Cleveland Guardians

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Daniel Schneemann CF·2-4412111227.323.408.581
Chase DeLauter RF·0-4400101022.224.323.482
Jose Ramirez 3B·1-4411001019.235.364.469
Kyle Manzardo 1B·0-5500000017.182.267.234
Rhys Hoskins 1B·1-4421001218.213.351.344
George Valera LF·1-4411200115.233.258.333
Steven Kwan CF0-000000000.227.315.289
Angel Martinez LF·2-4422420225.284.329.541
Bo Naylor C·1-4401000112.138.206.207
Brayan Rocchio SS·2-4412000014.280.372.427

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Gavin Williams SP·6.076624296-633.2896
Hunter Gaddis RP1.00000008-63.608
Erik Sabrowski RP1.000001013-82.8413
Cade Smith RP1.020000016-114.1516

Toronto Blue Jays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Nathan Lukes RF·1-110100003.250.286.327
Davis Schneider LF0-3320001120.162.326.297
Ernie Clement 2B·1-4401100011.317.324.423
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B·0-440010009.323.411.441
Jesus Sanchez LF·1-3311110114.270.325.432
Myles Straw RF0-110000007.313.371.438
Lenyn Sosa 2B·1-4411000217.273.261.364
Daulton Varsho CF·0-440000008.250.318.413
Kazuma Okamoto 3B·2-3322111121.222.307.378
Andres Gimenez SS·3-440320009.289.316.467
Tyler Heineman C·0-3300000011.200.243.200
Eloy Jimenez DH0-110000003.391.444.391

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Max Scherzer SP·2.167730382-519.6482
Joe Mantiply RP1.220001019-153.7219
Spencer Miles RP2.021102028-183.2928
Tommy Nance RP1.000003013-106.5513
Mason Fluharty RP1.000002013-85.5913
Braydon Fisher RP1.000010014-71.9314

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 3rd InningMartínez homered to right center (398 feet), Hoskins scored.7–3
  2. 9th InningOkamoto singled to left.
  3. 3rd InningPitch 11 : Ball In Play
  4. 9th InningPitch 7 : Ball In Play
  5. 8th InningStraw lined out to center.
  6. 3rd InningPitch 10 : Ball 3
  7. 9th InningPitch 6 : Ball 3

Scoring Plays

  1. 3rd InningMartínez homered to right center (398 feet), Hoskins scored.7–3
  2. 1st InningSchneemann homered to right (366 feet).1–0
  3. 1st InningSánchez homered to center (422 feet).5–2
  4. 5th InningClement doubled to left, Schneider scored.7–4
  5. 1st InningMartínez homered to right center (388 feet), Valera scored.5–0
  6. 1st InningValera doubled to right, Hoskins scored and Ramírez scored.3–0
  7. 2nd InningOkamoto homered to center (430 feet).5–3
  8. 6th InningGiménez doubled to left, Okamoto scored and Sosa scored.8–6
  9. 6th InningDeLauter grounded into fielder's choice to first, Rocchio scored, Schneemann third.8–4
  10. 1st InningGuerrero Jr. grounded out to shortstop, Schneider scored.5–1

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