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In The Rafters

CLE @ TOR

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameIndoor3:07 PM ET⚾ Joey Cantillo vs Kevin GausmanMLB.TVCLEGuardians.TV
Result readToronto Blue Jays

Cleveland Guardians 3 · Toronto Blue Jays 5

Final
Cleveland Guardians21-21-1-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Toronto Blue Jays18-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeRogers CentreHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans Toronto Blue Jays because Cleveland Guardians owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Cleveland Guardians has the recent-form edge. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Cleveland Guardians at 56%. Actual: Toronto Blue Jays by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Cleveland Guardians

Toronto Blue Jays

Injury Report

Toronto Blue Jays

Javen ColemanDay-To-DayNathan Lukes10-Day-ILCJ StubbsDay-To-DayLazaro Estrada15-Day-ILFernando Perezdevelopmental list

Cleveland Guardians

Gabriel Arias10-Day-ILShawn Armstrong15-Day-ILAndrew Walters15-Day-ILCarlos HernandezDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Cleveland Guardians
AM Angel Martinez LF · #1 SK Steven Kwan CF · #38 CD Chase DeLauter RF · #24 JR Jose Ramirez 3B · #11 BR Brayan Rocchio SS · #4 TB Travis Bazzana 2B · #37 KM Kyle Manzardo 1B · #9 GW Gavin Williams P · #32 BN Bo Naylor C · #23
Toronto Blue Jays
JS Jesus Sanchez LF · #12 DV Daulton Varsho CF · #5 MS Myles Straw RF · #3 KO Kazuma Okamoto 3B · #7 AG Andres Gimenez SS · #0 EC Ernie Clement 2B · #22 VG Guerrero Jr. 1B · #27 KG Kevin Gausman P · #34 TH Tyler Heineman C · #55

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🏃 DoubleManzardo doubled to left, Hoskins scored, Valera to third.9th Inning3–5
  2. ScoreOkamoto walked, Straw scored, Guerrero Jr. to second, Clement to third.7th Inning2–5
  3. ScoreVarsho grounded into fielder's choice to second, Guerrero Jr. scored on fielding error by second baseman Brito, Okamoto third.6th Inning1–2
  4. ScoreOkamoto homered to center (425 feet).4th Inning1–1
  5. ScoreRocchio grounded out to shortstop, Brito scored.3rd Inning1–0
  6. 🏃 DoubleGiménez doubled to left, Okamoto scored and Varsho scored.6th Inning1–4

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Cleveland Guardians001000101391
Toronto Blue Jays00010310—590

Cleveland Guardians

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Angel Martinez LF·1-4401000017.282.325.526
Chase DeLauter RF·1-4401000116.225.320.472
Jose Ramirez 3B·1-4401000017.235.361.471
Rhys Hoskins 1B·1-4411000115.215.346.338
George Valera LF·1-4401000110.235.257.324
David Fry RF·1-331111018.250.368.375
Kyle Manzardo 1B1-110110003.192.276.256
Daniel Schneemann CF0-000000000.323.408.581
Juan Brito 2B·1-3311001019.170.250.255
Bo Naylor C·0-4400000221.129.194.194
Brayan Rocchio SS·1-4401100117.279.367.419

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Joey Cantillo SP·5.063114189-602.9789
Matt Festa RP1.011003017-135.4017
Peyton Pallette RP1.021121035-213.8635
Connor Brogdon RP1.000002012-85.9112

Toronto Blue Jays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Myles Straw RF·2-5512000020.324.375.459
Ernie Clement 2B·2-4402000117.324.330.435
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B·1-3311001017.323.414.438
Kazuma Okamoto 3B·2-3322211117.237.324.419
Eloy Jimenez DH·0-220000007.360.414.360
Jesus Sanchez LF0-2200000111.263.318.421
Daulton Varsho CF·0-4410000017.238.304.393
Davis Schneider LF·0-3300001215.150.320.275
Andres Gimenez SS·1-4401200215.287.313.468
Tyler Heineman C·1-4401000317.205.244.205

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Kevin Gausman SP·6.262203191-632.5791
Mason Fluharty RP0.10000108-75.408
Tyler Rogers RP1.000001014-100.6814
Louis Varland RP1.031112030-190.6430

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 4th InningVarsho popped out to third.
  2. 7th InningNaylor struck out swinging.
  3. 4th InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play
  4. 9th InningNaylor struck out swinging.

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningManzardo doubled to left, Hoskins scored, Valera to third.3–5
  2. 7th InningOkamoto walked, Straw scored, Guerrero Jr. to second, Clement to third.2–5
  3. 6th InningVarsho grounded into fielder's choice to second, Guerrero Jr. scored on fielding error by second baseman Brito, Okamoto third.1–2
  4. 4th InningOkamoto homered to center (425 feet).1–1
  5. 3rd InningRocchio grounded out to shortstop, Brito scored.1–0
  6. 6th InningGiménez doubled to left, Okamoto scored and Varsho scored.1–4
  7. 7th InningFry homered to left (359 feet).2–4

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