CLE @ TOR
Rogers Centre · Toronto, Ontario
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameIndoor1:37 PM ET⚾ Slade Cecconi vs Patrick CorbinMLB.TVCLEGuardians.TV
Result readToronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Guardians 2 · Toronto Blue Jays 4
Final
Cleveland Guardians21-21-1-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Toronto Blue Jays18-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeRogers CentreHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Toronto Blue Jays gets the model’s nod thanks to Cleveland Guardians’s margin advantage, with Cleveland Guardians’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Cleveland Guardians at 56%. Actual: Toronto Blue Jays by 2.
Pre-game pick: Cleveland Guardians at 56%. Actual: Toronto Blue Jays by 2.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Cleveland Guardians
- Gavin Williams SP · #32
- Joey Cantillo SP · #54
- Jose Ramirez 3B · #11
- Brayan Rocchio SS · #4
Toronto Blue Jays
- Kevin Gausman SP · #34
- Dylan Cease SP · #84
- Braydon Fisher RP · #63
- Mason Fluharty RP · #68
Injury Report
Toronto Blue Jays
Javen ColemanDay-To-DayNathan Lukes10-Day-ILCJ StubbsDay-To-DayLazaro Estrada15-Day-ILFernando Perezdevelopmental list
Cleveland Guardians
Gabriel Arias10-Day-ILShawn Armstrong15-Day-ILAndrew Walters15-Day-ILCarlos HernandezDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreSánchez homered to right (355 feet), Guerrero Jr. scored.2–4
- ScoreGuerrero Jr. singled to left, Clement scored, Varsho to third.0–1
- ScoreRocchio singled to center, Brito scored, Hedges to second.1–2
- ScoreSánchez hit sacrifice fly to left, Varsho scored.0–2
- 🏃 DoubleMartínez doubled to left, Hedges scored.2–2
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | — | 4 | 6 | 1 |
Cleveland Guardians
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan CF· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | .225 | .310 | .284 |
| Angel Martinez LF· | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .289 | .330 | .530 |
| Jose Ramirez 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | .229 | .357 | .457 |
| Rhys Hoskins 1B· | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | .212 | .358 | .333 |
| George Valera LF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .229 | .250 | .314 |
| David Fry RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | .235 | .366 | .353 |
| Kyle Manzardo 1B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | .192 | .284 | .256 |
| Daniel Schneemann CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .318 | .400 | .561 |
| Juan Brito 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | .176 | .250 | .255 |
| Austin Hedges C· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .273 | .306 | .333 |
| Chase DeLauter RF | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .233 | .327 | .478 |
| Brayan Rocchio SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .278 | .363 | .411 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slade Cecconi SP· | 5.2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 90-60 | 6.23 | 90 |
| Tim Herrin RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15-12 | 0.00 | 15 |
| Colin Holderman RP | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12-10 | 4.15 | 12 |
Toronto Blue Jays
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernie Clement 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .321 | .327 | .438 |
| Daulton Varsho CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | .230 | .302 | .379 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B· | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .340 | .426 | .460 |
| Jesus Sanchez LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .266 | .315 | .456 |
| Kazuma Okamoto 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .229 | .315 | .406 |
| Lenyn Sosa 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .240 | .231 | .320 |
| Yohendrick Pinango LF· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .500 | .500 | .500 |
| Myles Straw RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .316 | .366 | .447 |
| Davis Schneider LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .140 | .302 | .256 |
| Brandon Valenzuela C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | .147 | .171 | .235 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Corbin SP· | 4.2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 84-52 | 3.72 | 84 |
| Braydon Fisher RP | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19-10 | 1.76 | 19 |
| Tyler Rogers RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11-8 | 0.63 | 11 |
| Jeff Hoffman RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24-15 | 6.94 | 24 |
| Louis Varland RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20-15 | 0.60 | 20 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 8th InningValera struck out swinging.
- 8th InningPitch 9 : Strike 3 Swinging
- 8th InningPitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul
- 7th InningSchneider struck out swinging.
- 8th InningPitch 7 : Strike 2 Foul
- 7th InningPitch 9 : Strike 3 Swinging
Scoring Plays
- 6th InningSánchez homered to right (355 feet), Guerrero Jr. scored.2–4
- 1st InningGuerrero Jr. singled to left, Clement scored, Varsho to third.0–1
- 5th InningRocchio singled to center, Brito scored, Hedges to second.1–2
- 1st InningSánchez hit sacrifice fly to left, Varsho scored.0–2
- 5th InningMartínez doubled to left, Hedges scored.2–2