BOS @ TOR
Rogers Centre · Toronto, Ontario
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameIndoor7:07 PM ET⚾ Ranger Suarez vs Dylan CeaseMLB.TV
Result readBoston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox 5 · Toronto Blue Jays 0
Final
Boston Red Sox17-23-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 55%
Toronto Blue Jays18-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeRogers CentreHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to Boston Red Sox on the back of Toronto Blue Jays’s margin work and Boston Red Sox’s last-ten momentum. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Toronto Blue Jays at 50%. Actual: Boston Red Sox by 5.
Pre-game pick: Toronto Blue Jays at 50%. Actual: Boston Red Sox by 5.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Boston Red Sox
- Brayan Bello SP · #66
- Connelly Early SP · #71
- Trevor Story SS · #10
- Willson Contreras 1B · #40
Toronto Blue Jays
- Kevin Gausman SP · #34
- Dylan Cease SP · #84
- Braydon Fisher RP · #63
- Mason Fluharty RP · #68
Injury Report
Toronto Blue Jays
Javen ColemanDay-To-DayNathan Lukes10-Day-ILCJ StubbsDay-To-DayLazaro Estrada15-Day-ILFernando Perezdevelopmental list
Boston Red Sox
Willson ContrerasDay-To-DayKutter Crawford15-Day-ILRoman Anthony10-Day-ILDanny Coulombe15-Day-ILGarrett Crochet15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreAnthony reached on infield single to first, Duran scored, Contreras to third.2–0
- ScoreNarváez homered to left center (388 feet).5–0
- ScoreDurbin singled to left, Mayer scored.4–0
- 🏃 DoubleAbreu doubled to right, Contreras scored, Anthony to third.3–0
- ScoreMayer singled to center, Contreras scored, Abreu to third.1–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Boston Red Sox
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarren Duran LF· | 0-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | .179 | .243 | .263 |
| Willson Contreras 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .253 | .375 | .455 |
| Roman Anthony LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27 | .218 | .358 | .310 |
| Wilyer Abreu RF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .306 | .364 | .491 |
| Trevor Story SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .191 | .228 | .287 |
| Marcelo Mayer 2B· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | .243 | .316 | .371 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .275 | .347 | .396 |
| Carlos Narvaez C· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .246 | .270 | .377 |
| Caleb Durbin 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | .174 | .269 | .272 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ranger Suarez SP· | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 105-66 | 3.09 | 105 |
| Greg Weissert RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10-7 | 3.86 | 10 |
Toronto Blue Jays
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Straw RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .293 | .341 | .415 |
| Daulton Varsho CF | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .239 | .309 | .398 |
| Ernie Clement 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .310 | .316 | .422 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | .330 | .415 | .447 |
| Kazuma Okamoto 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .222 | .306 | .394 |
| Lenyn Sosa 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .214 | .207 | .286 |
| Eloy Jimenez DH· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .321 | .375 | .321 |
| Jesus Sanchez LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | .268 | .315 | .463 |
| Davis Schneider LF· | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | .136 | .309 | .250 |
| Yohendrick Pinango LF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .333 | .333 | .333 |
| Tyler Heineman C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .190 | .227 | .190 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease SP· | 5.2 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 107-65 | 2.87 | 107 |
| Joe Mantiply RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12-9 | 3.38 | 12 |
| Chase Lee RP | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21-13 | 6.75 | 21 |
| Tommy Nance RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16-9 | 6.00 | 16 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 1st InningAnthony struck out swinging.
- 9th InningDuran grounded out to second.
- 1st InningPitch 9 : Strike 3 Swinging
- 9th InningPitch 7 : Ball In Play
Scoring Plays
- 5th InningAnthony reached on infield single to first, Duran scored, Contreras to third.2–0
- 8th InningNarváez homered to left center (388 feet).5–0
- 6th InningDurbin singled to left, Mayer scored.4–0
- 5th InningAbreu doubled to right, Contreras scored, Anthony to third.3–0
- 4th InningMayer singled to center, Contreras scored, Abreu to third.1–0