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InTheRafters.com

HOU @ BOS

Joshua Silvia
12–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:10 PM ET⚾ Mike Burrows vs Jake BennettMLB.TVNESN+
Result readBoston Red Sox

Houston Astros 1 · Boston Red Sox 3

Final
Houston Astros16-25-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 43% · last 10: 50%
Boston Red Sox17-23-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 55%
Venue EdgeFenway ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Boston Red Sox gets the model’s nod thanks to Boston Red Sox’s margin advantage, with Boston Red Sox’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Boston Red Sox at 61%. Actual: Boston Red Sox by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Houston Astros

Boston Red Sox

Injury Report

Boston Red Sox

Willson ContrerasDay-To-DayKutter Crawford15-Day-ILRoman Anthony10-Day-ILDanny Coulombe15-Day-ILGarrett Crochet15-Day-IL

Houston Astros

Tatsuya Imai15-Day-ILLance McCullers Jr.Day-To-DayWalker JanekDay-To-DayLucas SpenceDay-To-DayYainer Diaz10-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Houston Astros
YA Yordan Alvarez LF · #44 DJ Daniel Johnson CF · #31 CS Cam Smith RF · #11 IP Isaac Paredes 3B · #15 CC Carlos Correa SS · #1 JA Jose Altuve 2B · #27 CW C. Walker 1B · #8 MB Mike Burrows P · #50 YD Yainer Diaz C · #21
Boston Red Sox
JD Jarren Duran LF · #16 CR C. Rafaela CF · #3 WA Wilyer Abreu RF · #52 CD Caleb Durbin 3B · #5 TS Trevor Story SS · #10 MM Marcelo Mayer 2B · #11 WC W. Contreras 1B · #40 BB Brayan Bello P · #66 CN Carlos Narvaez C · #75

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreCorrea homered to left center (359 feet).3rd Inning1–0
  2. ScoreDuran homered to right center (407 feet), Narváez scored and Durbin scored.3rd Inning1–3

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Houston Astros0010000001110
Boston Red Sox00300000—3100

Houston Astros

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Carlos Correa SS·3-5513110013.288.370.441
Yordan Alvarez LF·0-5500000116.341.446.707
Isaac Paredes 3B·2-3302001017.265.353.392
Christian Walker 1B·1-3301001116.294.370.546
Jose Altuve 2B·1-4401000014.250.346.388
Yainer Diaz C·2-4402000011.250.267.365
Cam Smith RF·0-4400000217.211.307.367
Brice Matthews LF·1-4401000220.210.269.371
Dustin Harris LF·1-2201000013.192.267.269
Shay Whitcomb 3B0-110000003.083.154.333
Daniel Johnson CF0-000000000.154.313.154
Christian Vazquez C0-110000004.320.382.520

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Mike Burrows SP·6.083313194-625.9794
Bennett Sousa RP1.000001012-77.7112
Bryan King RP1.020000014-93.5514

Boston Red Sox

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jarren Duran LF·1-4411310010.173.232.279
Willson Contreras 1B·1-3301000218.264.379.482
Roman Anthony LF·3-4403000015.230.353.320
Wilyer Abreu RF·0-4400000016.297.362.466
Trevor Story SS·2-4402000012.206.244.302
Marcelo Mayer 2B·1-4401000115.253.318.367
Ceddanne Rafaela CF·1-330100009.265.333.378
Carlos Narvaez C·0-2210001117.227.261.348
Caleb Durbin 3B·1-331100008.176.263.265

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jake Bennett SP·5.051123185-581.8085
Zack Kelly RP1.120002019-123.0919
Danny Coulombe RP0.21000008-55.638
Garrett Whitlock RP1.020000016-123.0016
Aroldis Chapman RP1.010001016-110.9316

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 3rd InningNarváez walked.
  2. 2nd InningHarris grounded out to first.
  3. 3rd InningPitch 11 : Ball 4
  4. 2nd InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
  5. 9th InningMatthews struck out looking.
  6. 3rd InningPitch 10 : Strike 2 Foul
  7. 2nd InningPitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul

Scoring Plays

  1. 3rd InningCorrea homered to left center (359 feet).1–0
  2. 3rd InningDuran homered to right center (407 feet), Narváez scored and Durbin scored.1–3

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