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In The Rafters

TOR @ MIN

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:10 PM CT⚾ Patrick Corbin vs Simeon Woods RichardsonMLB.TVTwins.TV
Result readToronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue Jays 7 · Minnesota Twins 3

Final
Toronto Blue Jays18-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
Minnesota Twins18-23-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeTarget FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Toronto Blue Jays is the model’s call — Minnesota Twins on the margin numbers, Minnesota Twins on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Toronto Blue Jays at 56%. Actual: Toronto Blue Jays by 4.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Toronto Blue Jays

Minnesota Twins

Injury Report

Minnesota Twins

Cory LewisDay-To-DayGarrett Acton15-Day-ILCole Sands15-Day-ILJulian MerryweatherDay-To-DayCody Laweryson15-Day-IL

Toronto Blue Jays

Javen ColemanDay-To-DayNathan Lukes10-Day-ILCJ StubbsDay-To-DayLazaro Estrada15-Day-ILFernando Perezdevelopmental list
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Toronto Blue Jays
JS Jesus Sanchez LF · #12 DV Daulton Varsho CF · #5 MS Myles Straw RF · #3 KO Kazuma Okamoto 3B · #7 AG Andres Gimenez SS · #0 EC Ernie Clement 2B · #22 VG Guerrero Jr. 1B · #27 KG Kevin Gausman P · #34 TH Tyler Heineman C · #55
Minnesota Twins
AM Austin Martin LF · #16 BB Byron Buxton CF · #25 MW Matt Wallner RF · #38 RL Royce Lewis 3B · #23 BL Brooks Lee SS · #22 LK Luke Keaschall 2B · #15 JB Josh Bell 1B · #56 BO Bailey Ober P · #17 RJ Ryan Jeffers C · #27

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 💣 Home RunPinango grounded into fielder's choice to first, Varsho scored, Sosa scored, Pinango to second on throwing error by first baseman Bell.2nd Inning2–0
  2. ScorePinango singled to center, Sosa scored, Pinango to second.4th Inning4–2
  3. ScoreOkamoto homered to left (390 feet).4th Inning3–2
  4. ScoreBuxton homered to left (364 feet), Lee scored.3rd Inning2–2
  5. ScoreJeffers hit sacrifice fly to center, Lee scored, Buxton to third.7th Inning7–3
  6. ScorePinango singled to center, Okamoto scored.7th Inning7–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Toronto Blue Jays0202201007110
Minnesota Twins0020001003101

Toronto Blue Jays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
George Springer DH·1-5501000011.215.301.369
Jesus Sanchez LF·0-5500000119.240.283.406
Davis Schneider LF0-000000000.125.311.229
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B·0-4410001016.342.430.453
Kazuma Okamoto 3B·2-4432321025.228.313.430
Daulton Varsho CF·1-5511000014.233.307.398
Lenyn Sosa 2B·3-4423000010.281.273.375
Yohendrick Pinango LF·3-4403200017.500.545.500
Myles Straw RF0-000000000.277.327.383
Andres Gimenez SS·0-4400000112.257.281.413
Tyler Heineman C·1-3301000114.188.235.188

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Patrick Corbin SP·5.162214179-533.6579
Braydon Fisher RP0.20000109-61.539
Jeff Hoffman RP1.031101016-146.5916
Tyler Rogers RP1.00000209-70.559
Louis Varland RP1.010012027-160.5327

Minnesota Twins

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Byron Buxton CF·2-4412211019.260.317.528
Austin Martin LF·3-5503000018.333.484.435
Ryan Jeffers C·1-4401100223.301.410.494
Josh Bell 1B·1-4401000112.226.313.348
Victor Caratini C·0-330000018.213.309.263
Luke Keaschall 2B·0-3300001215.211.267.268
Royce Lewis 3B·0-4400000214.186.288.343
Brooks Lee SS·2-4422000115.252.313.417
James Outman CF·1-4401000116.129.182.194

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Simeon Woods Richardson SP·4.296412288-606.4988
Taylor Rogers RP1.01000008-85.568
Eric Orze RP2.111111033-225.0233
Luis Garcia RP1.00000009-67.569

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 2nd InningOkamoto grounded out to shortstop.
  2. 9th InningLee struck out swinging.
  3. 5th InningSánchez struck out swinging.
  4. 2nd InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
  5. 9th InningOutman popped out to shortstop.
  6. 9th InningPitch 7 : Strike 3 Swinging

Scoring Plays

  1. 2nd InningPinango grounded into fielder's choice to first, Varsho scored, Sosa scored, Pinango to second on throwing error by first baseman Bell.2–0
  2. 4th InningPinango singled to center, Sosa scored, Pinango to second.4–2
  3. 4th InningOkamoto homered to left (390 feet).3–2
  4. 3rd InningBuxton homered to left (364 feet), Lee scored.2–2
  5. 7th InningJeffers hit sacrifice fly to center, Lee scored, Buxton to third.7–3
  6. 7th InningPinango singled to center, Okamoto scored.7–2
  7. 5th InningOkamoto homered to left (374 feet), Guerrero Jr. scored.6–2

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