InTheRafters.com

TOR @ MIN

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM CT⚾ Dylan Cease vs Connor PrielippMLB.TVTwins.TVSportsnet+
Result readToronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue Jays 11 · Minnesota Twins 4

Final
Toronto Blue Jays17-21-1-0.5 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 50%
Minnesota Twins16-23-0.4 net/g (SOS-adj -0.6) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeTarget FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Toronto Blue Jays gets the model’s nod thanks to Minnesota Twins’s margin advantage, with Toronto Blue Jays’s recent run providing the second tip. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Minnesota Twins at 59%. Actual: Toronto Blue Jays by 7.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Toronto Blue Jays

Minnesota Twins

Injury Report

Minnesota Twins

Cody Laweryson15-Day-ILCory LewisDay-To-DayJulian MerryweatherDay-To-DayGarrett Acton15-Day-ILCole Sands15-Day-IL

Toronto Blue Jays

Addison Barger10-Day-ILCJ StubbsDay-To-DayLazaro Estrada15-Day-ILJaven ColemanDay-To-DayNathan Lukes10-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Toronto Blue Jays
JS Jesus Sanchez LF · #12 DV Daulton Varsho CF · #5 MS Myles Straw RF · #3 KO Kazuma Okamoto 3B · #7 AG Andres Gimenez SS · #0 EC Ernie Clement 2B · #22 VG Guerrero Jr. 1B · #27 KG Kevin Gausman P · #34 TH Tyler Heineman C · #55
Minnesota Twins
AM Austin Martin LF · #16 BB Byron Buxton CF · #25 MW Matt Wallner RF · #38 RL Royce Lewis 3B · #23 BL Brooks Lee SS · #22 LK Luke Keaschall 2B · #15 JB Josh Bell 1B · #56 BO Bailey Ober P · #17 RJ Ryan Jeffers C · #27

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreOkamoto singled to center, Clement scored, Guerrero Jr. to third.8th Inning4–4
  2. ScoreStraw homered to left (392 feet).2nd Inning2–1
  3. 🏃 DoubleSchneider doubled to left, Sosa scored and Varsho scored, Straw to third.8th Inning8–4
  4. ScoreStraw walked, Okamoto scored, Varsho to second, Sosa to third.8th Inning6–4
  5. ScoreSosa reached on infield single to second, Guerrero Jr. scored, Okamoto to second.8th Inning5–4
  6. ScoreLarnach singled to center, Gray scored.5th Inning2–4

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Toronto Blue Jays0200010801191
Minnesota Twins120010000471

Toronto Blue Jays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
George Springer DH·0-110000002.212.307.364
Jesus Sanchez LF0-330000007.232.275.394
Ernie Clement 2B·1-5511000122.298.319.420
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B·0-4410001021.331.421.438
Kazuma Okamoto 3B·2-5522210022.235.316.454
Lenyn Sosa 2B·2-5522210222.297.289.459
Daulton Varsho CF·1-5511000015.231.303.398
Myles Straw RF·1-2221212016.286.357.449
Davis Schneider LF·1-3311201220.137.323.255
Brandon Valenzuela C·1-3311311016.209.261.419

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Dylan Cease SP·7.0743171106-663.05106
Mason Fluharty RP1.000000012-106.7512
Spencer Miles RP1.000000015-92.7015

Minnesota Twins

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Byron Buxton CF·1-441111009.260.315.542
Trevor Larnach LF·2-4402100111.282.427.423
Josh Bell 1B·0-4400000116.218.304.336
Ryan Jeffers C·0-4400000015.287.394.471
Kody Clemens 1B·1-4411000121.200.294.360
Luke Keaschall 2B·1-3311001021.214.273.278
Matt Wallner RF·0-4400000116.162.265.273
Brooks Lee SS·1-3301100214.255.313.415
Tristan Gray 3B·1-3311000110.273.317.455

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Connor Prielipp SP·5.032224291-593.8691
Justin Topa RP0.211101110-73.7710
Kody Funderburk RP1.100010014-62.0814
Luis Garcia RP0.034410018-811.8818
Anthony Banda RP1.024310118-109.0018
John Klein SP1.000000012-80.0012

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 4th InningSosa struck out swinging.
  2. 9th InningKeaschall flied out to right.
  3. 5th InningClement struck out swinging.
  4. 5th InningValenzuela walked.
  5. 4th InningPitch 9 : Strike 3 Swinging
  6. 2nd InningKeaschall walked, Clemens to second.

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningOkamoto singled to center, Clement scored, Guerrero Jr. to third.4–4
  2. 2nd InningStraw homered to left (392 feet).2–1
  3. 8th InningSchneider doubled to left, Sosa scored and Varsho scored, Straw to third.8–4
  4. 8th InningStraw walked, Okamoto scored, Varsho to second, Sosa to third.6–4
  5. 8th InningSosa reached on infield single to second, Guerrero Jr. scored, Okamoto to second.5–4
  6. 5th InningLarnach singled to center, Gray scored.2–4
  7. 2nd InningLee reached on infield single to first, Clemens scored on error and Keaschall scored on throwing error by first baseman Guerrero Jr..2–3
  8. 1st InningBuxton homered to right (363 feet).0–1
  9. 6th InningOkamoto homered to center (453 feet).3–4
  10. 2nd InningSosa homered to left center (415 feet).1–1
  11. 8th InningValenzuela homered to center (412 feet), Straw scored and Schneider scored.11–4

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