Skip to content

InTheRafters.com

TOR @ MIN

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor11:45 AM CT⚾ Trey Yesavage vs Joe RyanPeacock
Result readMinnesota Twins

Toronto Blue Jays 3 · Minnesota Twins 4

Final
Toronto Blue Jays18-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
Minnesota Twins18-23-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeTarget FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Minnesota Twins: Minnesota Twins’s scoring margin profile and Minnesota Twins’s recent stretch. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Toronto Blue Jays at 73%. Actual: Minnesota Twins by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Toronto Blue Jays

Minnesota Twins

Injury Report

Minnesota Twins

Cory LewisDay-To-DayGarrett Acton15-Day-ILCole Sands15-Day-ILJulian MerryweatherDay-To-DayCody Laweryson15-Day-IL

Toronto Blue Jays

Javen ColemanDay-To-DayNathan Lukes10-Day-ILCJ StubbsDay-To-DayLazaro Estrada15-Day-ILFernando Perezdevelopmental list
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Toronto Blue Jays
JS Jesus Sanchez LF · #12 DV Daulton Varsho CF · #5 MS Myles Straw RF · #3 KO Kazuma Okamoto 3B · #7 AG Andres Gimenez SS · #0 EC Ernie Clement 2B · #22 VG Guerrero Jr. 1B · #27 KG Kevin Gausman P · #34 TH Tyler Heineman C · #55
Minnesota Twins
AM Austin Martin LF · #16 BB Byron Buxton CF · #25 MW Matt Wallner RF · #38 RL Royce Lewis 3B · #23 BL Brooks Lee SS · #22 LK Luke Keaschall 2B · #15 JB Josh Bell 1B · #56 BO Bailey Ober P · #17 RJ Ryan Jeffers C · #27

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🏃 DoubleWallner doubled to left, Clemens scored.5th Inning0–4
  2. 🏃 DoubleKeaschall doubled to center, Caratini scored.5th Inning0–2
  3. ScoreCaratini singled to right, Larnach scored, Martin to third.1st Inning0–1
  4. ScoreOkamoto homered to left center (401 feet), Straw scored.9th Inning3–4
  5. 🏃 DoubleClemens doubled to center, Keaschall scored.5th Inning0–3
  6. ScoreVarsho reached on bunt single to first, Guerrero Jr. scored, Sánchez to second.6th Inning1–4

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Toronto Blue Jays0000010023110
Minnesota Twins10003000—490

Toronto Blue Jays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Yohendrick Pinango LF·1-3301000111.462.500.462
Myles Straw RF1-221100018.294.362.451
Kazuma Okamoto 3B·1-4411211215.236.319.472
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B·2-5512000227.333.421.437
Jesus Sanchez LF·3-5503000113.250.289.404
Davis Schneider LF0-000000000.137.323.255
Lenyn Sosa 2B·0-5500000222.262.256.405
Daulton Varsho CF·2-3302101012.243.317.414
Ernie Clement 2B·0-3300001012.291.317.410
Andres Gimenez SS·1-3301000010.259.288.411
Tyler Heineman C·0-330000008.176.222.176
Brandon Valenzuela C0-110000004.205.255.409

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Trey Yesavage SP·4.051136082-520.9682
Braydon Fisher RP0.223311018-102.9518
Joe Mantiply RP1.010000014-102.8414
Tommy Nance RP1.100002014-114.7014
Jeff Hoffman RP1.010000012-86.1412

Minnesota Twins

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Byron Buxton CF·0-3300001118.254.313.530
Trevor Larnach LF·1-4411000115.280.419.413
Austin Martin LF·1-3301001219.333.484.431
Victor Caratini C·1-3311101112.217.317.265
Luke Keaschall 2B·2-4412100015.223.280.300
Kody Clemens 1B·1-3311101114.205.303.372
Royce Lewis 3B·0-4400000223.176.274.324
Matt Wallner RF·2-4402100014.175.274.291
James Outman CF0-000000000.129.182.194
Brooks Lee SS·1-4401000110.255.311.409

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Joe Ryan SP·0.10001109-53.729
Andrew Morris RP3.220013057-364.8057
Taylor Rogers RP2.141103032-235.2732
Eric Orze RP1.110012024-154.6024
Kody Funderburk RP0.10000003-22.033
Justin Topa RP1.042200117-114.7017

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningLewis fouled out to catcher.
  2. 7th InningStraw struck out swinging.

Scoring Plays

  1. 5th InningWallner doubled to left, Clemens scored.0–4
  2. 5th InningKeaschall doubled to center, Caratini scored.0–2
  3. 1st InningCaratini singled to right, Larnach scored, Martin to third.0–1
  4. 9th InningOkamoto homered to left center (401 feet), Straw scored.3–4
  5. 5th InningClemens doubled to center, Keaschall scored.0–3
  6. 6th InningVarsho reached on bunt single to first, Guerrero Jr. scored, Sánchez to second.1–4

Trending