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In The Rafters

LAD @ HOU

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor7:10 PM CT⚾ Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Steven OkertMLB.TVSpace City Home (Alt.)
Result readLos Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers 8 · Houston Astros 3

Final
Los Angeles Dodgers24-16+1.7 net/g (SOS-adj +1.6) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 40%
Houston Astros16-25-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 43% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeDaikin ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Los Angeles Dodgers gets the model’s nod thanks to Los Angeles Dodgers’s margin advantage, with Houston Astros’s recent run providing the second tip. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 84%. Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers by 5.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Los Angeles Dodgers

Houston Astros

Injury Report

Houston Astros

Tatsuya Imai15-Day-ILLance McCullers Jr.Day-To-DayWalker JanekDay-To-DayLucas SpenceDay-To-DayYainer Diaz10-Day-IL

Los Angeles Dodgers

Mookie Betts10-Day-ILBen Casparius15-Day-ILTyler Glasnow15-Day-ILGavin Stone60-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Los Angeles Dodgers
TH T. Hernandez LF · #37 AP Andy Pages CF · #44 KT Kyle Tucker RF · #23 MM Max Muncy 3B · #13 HK Hyeseong Kim SS · #6 AF Alex Freeland 2B · #76 FF F. Freeman 1B · #5 ES Emmet Sheehan P · #80 WS Will Smith C · #16
Houston Astros
YA Yordan Alvarez LF · #44 DJ Daniel Johnson CF · #31 CS Cam Smith RF · #11 IP Isaac Paredes 3B · #15 CC Carlos Correa SS · #1 JA Jose Altuve 2B · #27 CW C. Walker 1B · #8 MB Mike Burrows P · #50 YD Yainer Diaz C · #21

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreCole homered to right (390 feet).5th Inning8–3
  2. ScoreFreeman singled to center, Freeland scored, Ohtani to third.5th Inning8–2
  3. ScoreFreeland homered to left center (362 feet).2nd Inning2–2
  4. ScoreFreeman singled to center, Kim scored on error and Ohtani scored on fielding error by right fielder Smith, Freeman to second.3rd Inning7–2
  5. ScoreTucker homered to right center (376 feet).3rd Inning4–2
  6. 🏃 DoubleSmith doubled to left, Ohtani scored.2nd Inning3–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Los Angeles Dodgers1240100008130
Houston Astros200010000361

Los Angeles Dodgers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Shohei Ohtani DH·0-3320102017.240.382.432
Freddie Freeman 1B·2-5502200320.276.336.418
Will Smith C·3-5513100219.280.348.400
Teoscar Hernandez LF·1-5501000221.248.323.389
Kyle Tucker RF·2-5512210116.242.325.386
Max Muncy 3B·0-3300002224.292.394.575
Andy Pages CF·1-5511000121.313.357.492
Hyeseong Kim SS·1-5511000019.308.370.400
Alex Freeland 2B·3-4423111015.256.316.372

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Yoshinobu Yamamoto SP·6.053318195-653.0995
Kyle Hurt RP1.000012017-111.1317
Blake Treinen RP1.000003017-103.6017
Jack Dreyer RP1.010002015-132.9315

Houston Astros

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Carlos Correa SS·0-4400000318.279.369.418
Yordan Alvarez LF·2-3312000117.333.438.667
Isaac Paredes 3B·1-3311001125.265.362.398
Braden Shewmake 2B0-000000000.200.200.500
Christian Walker 1B·0-4400000216.308.385.562
Jose Altuve 2B·1-4401100210.248.336.388
Brice Matthews LF·0-3300001114.211.288.394
Cam Smith RF·1-4401000219.230.314.377
Zach Cole CF·1-4411110215.250.2501.000
Christian Vazquez C·0-3300000110.316.371.491

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Steven Okert RP·0.231111020-124.6020
Ryan Weiss RP4.187645295-607.6295
Kai-Wei Teng RP2.010002031-182.3531
Bryan Abreu RP1.010003018-129.4918
Bennett Sousa RP1.00000008-88.108

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 6th InningParedes singled to right.
  2. 9th InningSmith singled to center.
  3. 6th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
  4. 3rd InningAlvarez singled to right.

Scoring Plays

  1. 5th InningCole homered to right (390 feet).8–3
  2. 5th InningFreeman singled to center, Freeland scored, Ohtani to third.8–2
  3. 2nd InningFreeland homered to left center (362 feet).2–2
  4. 3rd InningFreeman singled to center, Kim scored on error and Ohtani scored on fielding error by right fielder Smith, Freeman to second.7–2
  5. 3rd InningTucker homered to right center (376 feet).4–2
  6. 2nd InningSmith doubled to left, Ohtani scored.3–2
  7. 1st InningTucker reached on infield single to shortstop, Smith scored, T. Hernández to third.1–0
  8. 3rd InningOhtani grounded into fielder's choice to third, Pages scored, Freeland out at second, Kim to third.5–2
  9. 1st InningParedes scored on Yamamoto wild pitch, Altuve to second on wild pitch by Yamamoto.1–2
  10. 1st InningParedes scored on Yamamoto wild pitch, Altuve to second on wild pitch by Yamamoto.1–2
  11. 1st InningAltuve singled to right, Alvarez scored, Paredes to third.1–1

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