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InTheRafters.com

LAD @ HOU

Joshua Silvia
12–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor7:10 PM CT⚾ Shohei Ohtani vs Peter LambertMLB.TVSpace City Home (Alt.)
Result readHouston Astros

Los Angeles Dodgers 1 · Houston Astros 2

Final
Los Angeles Dodgers24-16+1.7 net/g (SOS-adj +1.6) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 40%
Houston Astros16-25-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 43% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeDaikin ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Houston Astros: Los Angeles Dodgers’s scoring margin profile and Houston Astros’s recent stretch. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 92%. Actual: Houston Astros by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Los Angeles Dodgers

Houston Astros

Injury Report

Houston Astros

Tatsuya Imai15-Day-ILLance McCullers Jr.Day-To-DayWalker JanekDay-To-DayLucas SpenceDay-To-DayYainer Diaz10-Day-IL

Los Angeles Dodgers

Mookie Betts10-Day-ILBen Casparius15-Day-ILTyler Glasnow15-Day-ILGavin Stone60-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Los Angeles Dodgers
TH T. Hernandez LF · #37 AP Andy Pages CF · #44 KT Kyle Tucker RF · #23 MM Max Muncy 3B · #13 HK Hyeseong Kim SS · #6 AF Alex Freeland 2B · #76 FF F. Freeman 1B · #5 ES Emmet Sheehan P · #80 WS Will Smith C · #16
Houston Astros
YA Yordan Alvarez LF · #44 DJ Daniel Johnson CF · #31 CS Cam Smith RF · #11 IP Isaac Paredes 3B · #15 CC Carlos Correa SS · #1 JA Jose Altuve 2B · #27 CW C. Walker 1B · #8 MB Mike Burrows P · #50 YD Yainer Diaz C · #21

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreTucker singled to right, Call scored.8th Inning1–2
  2. ScoreShewmake homered to left (337 feet).3rd Inning0–2
  3. ScoreWalker homered to left (395 feet).2nd Inning0–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Los Angeles Dodgers000000010160
Houston Astros01100000—240

Los Angeles Dodgers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Dalton Rushing C·0-330000018.321.400.755
Alex Call LF1-111100002.344.475.438
Freddie Freeman 1B·1-4401000116.275.333.420
Will Smith C·0-4400000010.269.336.385
Kyle Tucker RF·1-3301101120.244.329.385
Teoscar Hernandez LF·0-4400000215.239.313.376
Max Muncy 3B·0-3300001019.284.390.560
Andy Pages CF·3-4403000011.326.368.500
Alex Freeland 2B·0-1100002015.253.327.368
Santiago Espinal 3B0-110000013.192.192.269
Miguel Rojas SS·0-4400000022.278.322.389

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Shohei Ohtani DH·7.042208289-620.9789
Alex Vesia RP1.000001011-71.4211

Houston Astros

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jose Altuve 2B·0-4400000319.241.327.376
Yordan Alvarez LF·0-4400000114.324.428.647
Brice Matthews LF0-000000000.211.288.394
Isaac Paredes 3B·0-2200000113.261.361.391
Christian Walker 1B·1-331111019.308.384.579
Cam Smith RF·0-330000008.224.308.368
Zach Cole CF·0-3300000211.143.143.571
Christian Vazquez C·0-330000019.300.354.467
Nick Allen SS·1-3301000013.261.320.304
Braden Shewmake 2B·2-331211004.308.308.769

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Peter Lambert SP·7.0300440104-632.42104
Bryan King RP2.031102037-263.4537

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningMuncy flied out to right.
  2. 9th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
  3. 9th InningPitch 7 : Ball 3
  4. 9th InningPitch 6 : Ball 2
  5. 7th InningRojas grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Freeland out at second.

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningTucker singled to right, Call scored.1–2
  2. 3rd InningShewmake homered to left (337 feet).0–2
  3. 2nd InningWalker homered to left (395 feet).0–1

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