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InTheRafters.com

LAD @ HOU

Joshua Silvia
12–19 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameIndoor1:10 PM CT⚾ Tyler Glasnow vs Lance McCullers Jr.MLB.TVSpace City Home (Alt.)
Result readLos Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers 12 · Houston Astros 2

Final
Los Angeles Dodgers24-16+1.7 net/g (SOS-adj +1.6) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 40%
Houston Astros16-25-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 43% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeDaikin ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Los Angeles Dodgers on the back of Los Angeles Dodgers’s margin work and Houston Astros’s last-ten momentum. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 75%. Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers by 10.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Los Angeles Dodgers

Houston Astros

Injury Report

Houston Astros

Tatsuya Imai15-Day-ILLance McCullers Jr.Day-To-DayWalker JanekDay-To-DayLucas SpenceDay-To-DayYainer Diaz10-Day-IL

Los Angeles Dodgers

Mookie Betts10-Day-ILBen Casparius15-Day-ILTyler Glasnow15-Day-ILGavin Stone60-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Los Angeles Dodgers
TH T. Hernandez LF · #37 AP Andy Pages CF · #44 KT Kyle Tucker RF · #23 MM Max Muncy 3B · #13 HK Hyeseong Kim SS · #6 AF Alex Freeland 2B · #76 FF F. Freeman 1B · #5 ES Emmet Sheehan P · #80 WS Will Smith C · #16
Houston Astros
YA Yordan Alvarez LF · #44 DJ Daniel Johnson CF · #31 CS Cam Smith RF · #11 IP Isaac Paredes 3B · #15 CC Carlos Correa SS · #1 JA Jose Altuve 2B · #27 CW C. Walker 1B · #8 MB Mike Burrows P · #50 YD Yainer Diaz C · #21

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScorePages homered to left (393 feet), Freeman scored and Tucker scored.3rd Inning6–1
  2. ScoreOhtani scored on McCullers Jr. wild pitch.3rd Inning3–1
  3. ScoreOhtani scored on McCullers Jr. wild pitch.3rd Inning3–1
  4. 🏃 DoubleFreeman doubled to left, Ohtani scored.4th Inning7–1
  5. ScoreOhtani singled to left, Rushing scored, Freeland to third.5th Inning10–1
  6. ScoreFreeland scored on McCullers Jr. wild pitch, Ohtani to third on wild pitch by McCullers Jr..3rd Inning2–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Los Angeles Dodgers01513010112140
Houston Astros100000100250

Los Angeles Dodgers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Shohei Ohtani DH·2-4422101122.248.389.442
Freddie Freeman 1B·1-2211102016.279.344.429
Miguel Rojas SS0-110000001.273.317.382
Teoscar Hernandez LF·0-4400000320.231.304.364
Santiago Espinal 3B0-110000003.185.185.259
Kyle Tucker RF·2-4422001123.252.338.396
Max Muncy 3B·1-3311000219.286.388.555
Alex Call LF0-2200000010.324.452.412
Andy Pages CF·3-5533630014.336.376.569
Dalton Rushing C·2-5512000012.328.400.724
Hyeseong Kim SS·2-5512000122.314.372.429
Alex Freeland 2B·1-4411101119.253.330.363

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Tyler Glasnow SP·1.011102119-102.7219
Jack Dreyer RP2.010001027-212.6027
Edgardo Henriquez RP2.010001023-154.3823
Kyle Hurt RP1.000002011-81.0011
Blake Treinen RP1.021100015-104.0915
Tanner Scott RP1.00000009-71.769
Brock Stewart RP1.000002010-70.0010

Houston Astros

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brice Matthews LF·1-4411110216.213.286.427
Yordan Alvarez LF·0-2200000111.319.423.638
Shay Whitcomb 3B0-110000014.071.133.286
Christian Vazquez C0-110000014.295.348.459
Isaac Paredes 3B·1-2201000112.265.363.393
Nick Allen SS0-220000005.240.296.280
Christian Walker 1B·1-4411000114.307.381.569
Cam Smith RF·0-330000019.219.301.359
Zach Cole CF·1-330110007.200.200.500
Zach Dezenzo LF·0-3300000015.000.000.000
Braden Shewmake 2B·1-330100008.313.313.688
Cesar Salazar C·0-330000009.000.000.000

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Lance McCullers Jr. SP·2.246634170-397.4170
Jason Alexander SP4.195525188-5714.2188
Enyel De Los Santos RP1.000000013-104.8013
Cesar Salazar C·1.011100110-69.0010

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 3rd InningFreeman walked.
  2. 3rd InningPitch 7 : Ball 4
  3. 7th InningKim tripled to left.
  4. 3rd InningPitch 6 : Ball 3
  5. 7th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
  6. 3rd InningPages homered to left (393 feet), Freeman scored and Tucker scored.6–1

Scoring Plays

  1. 3rd InningPages homered to left (393 feet), Freeman scored and Tucker scored.6–1
  2. 3rd InningOhtani scored on McCullers Jr. wild pitch.3–1
  3. 3rd InningOhtani scored on McCullers Jr. wild pitch.3–1
  4. 4th InningFreeman doubled to left, Ohtani scored.7–1
  5. 5th InningOhtani singled to left, Rushing scored, Freeland to third.10–1
  6. 3rd InningFreeland scored on McCullers Jr. wild pitch, Ohtani to third on wild pitch by McCullers Jr..2–1
  7. 9th InningPages homered to left (363 feet).12–2
  8. 7th InningCole singled to right, Walker scored.11–2
  9. 3rd InningFreeland scored on McCullers Jr. wild pitch, Ohtani to third on wild pitch by McCullers Jr..2–1
  10. 2nd InningTucker scored on McCullers Jr. wild pitch, Rushing to second on wild pitch by McCullers Jr..1–1
  11. 1st InningMatthews homered to left (366 feet).0–1
  12. 5th InningPages homered to left (370 feet), Muncy scored.9–1
  13. 2nd InningTucker scored on McCullers Jr. wild pitch, Rushing to second on wild pitch by McCullers Jr..1–1
  14. 7th InningFreeland singled to right, Kim scored.11–1

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