InTheRafters.com

COL @ PHI

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM ET64°F · 6 mph wind · overcast⚾ Chase Dollander vs Jesus LuzardoMLB.TVRockies.TV
Result readColorado Rockies

Colorado Rockies 9 · Philadelphia Phillies 7

Final
Colorado Rockies16-23-2-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.7) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 35%
Philadelphia Phillies17-22-1-1.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 39% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeCitizens Bank ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Colorado Rockies on the back of Colorado Rockies’s margin work and Philadelphia Phillies’s last-ten momentum. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Philadelphia Phillies at 63%. Actual: Colorado Rockies by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Colorado Rockies

Philadelphia Phillies

Injury Report

Philadelphia Phillies

Christian McGowanDay-To-DayKeaton AnthonyDay-To-DayRene PintoDay-To-DayZach Pop15-Day-ILKyle Backhus15-Day-IL

Colorado Rockies

Jared ThomasDay-To-DayMcCade Brown60-Day-ILJeff Criswell60-Day-ILRyan Feltner15-Day-ILBrayan CastilloDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Colorado Rockies
MM Mickey Moniak LF · #22 BD Brenton Doyle CF · #9 TJ Troy Johnston RF · #20 KK Kyle Karros 3B · #12 ET Ezequiel Tovar SS · #14 EJ Edouard Julien 2B · #6 TR TJ Rumfield 1B · #7 ML M. Lorenzen P · #24 HG Hunter Goodman C · #15
Philadelphia Phillies
KS Kyle Schwarber LF · #12 JC J. Crawford CF · #2 AG Adolis Garcia RF · #53 AB Alec Bohm 3B · #28 TT Trea Turner SS · #7 BS Bryson Stott 2B · #5 BH Bryce Harper 1B · #3 CS C. Sanchez P · #61 RM Rafael Marchan C · #13

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreRumfield grounded out to first, Beck scored.1st Inning1–0
  2. 🏃 DoubleStott doubled to center, García scored and Marsh scored.8th Inning7–5
  3. ScoreGoodman homered to left (389 feet), Rumfield scored.4th Inning3–0
  4. ScoreMcCarthy singled to center, Johnston scored.11th Inning9–7
  5. 🏃 DoubleJohnston doubled to right, Castro scored.11th Inning8–7
  6. ScoreTovar singled to center, Karros scored.4th Inning6–0

Scoring by Inning

Team1234567891011RHE
Colorado Rockies100500100029130
Philadelphia Phillies00000205000790

Colorado Rockies

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jordan Beck LF·0-4410001223.162.213.270
Edouard Julien 2B0-110000001.265.363.378
Tyler Freeman RF·2-6612110230.293.376.400
TJ Rumfield 1B·1-6611100226.271.333.431
Hunter Goodman C·4-5514210125.254.324.530
Brenton Doyle CF·0-3310001115.202.279.266
Mickey Moniak LF0-110000005.315.364.694
Willi Castro 2B·2-5522000218.257.324.337
Kyle Karros 3B·1-4411200217.222.344.296
Troy Johnston RF1-111110002.330.394.470
Ezequiel Tovar SS·1-5501100322.187.236.269
Brett Sullivan C·0-2200001119.241.302.345
Jake McCarthy LF1-110110004.286.354.514

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Chase Dollander SP·5.232255189-483.3589
Jaden Hill RP1.010000016-103.9516
Brennan Bernardino RP0.123311014-93.6014
Jimmy Herget RP1.022202120-145.4020
Victor Vodnik RP2.000012020-126.3220
Juan Mejia RP1.010001018-114.6618

Philadelphia Phillies

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Trea Turner SS·0-6600000219.226.281.346
Kyle Schwarber LF·1-6611110421.214.349.545
Bryce Harper 1B·2-4412002023.282.380.549
Adolis Garcia RF·0-4410001225.239.310.377
Brandon Marsh LF·1-3321102012.333.368.500
J.T. Realmuto C·1-5501100114.260.321.356
Bryson Stott 2B·1-4411201125.211.262.360
Edmundo Sosa 2B·0-5500000014.254.279.356
Justin Crawford CF·3-4413211124.283.347.407

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jesus Luzardo SP·3.066636195-595.9895
Jonathan Bowlan RP2.010001020-136.1720
Tim Mayza RP2.011102120-153.4820
Jhoan Duran RP1.010002016-102.0816
Jose Alvarado RP1.000002020-135.4020
Orion Kerkering RP1.010001016-101.9316
Brad Keller RP1.032102020-134.3220

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 3rd InningFreeman struck out swinging.
  2. 3rd InningPitch 12 : Strike 3 Swinging
  3. 11th InningCrawford reached on infield single to third.
  4. 3rd InningPitch 11 : Ball 3
  5. 11th InningPitch 6 : Ball In Play
  6. 11th InningRumfield struck out swinging.
  7. 9th InningFreeman struck out swinging.

Scoring Plays

  1. 1st InningRumfield grounded out to first, Beck scored.1–0
  2. 8th InningStott doubled to center, García scored and Marsh scored.7–5
  3. 4th InningGoodman homered to left (389 feet), Rumfield scored.3–0
  4. 11th InningMcCarthy singled to center, Johnston scored.9–7
  5. 11th InningJohnston doubled to right, Castro scored.8–7
  6. 4th InningTovar singled to center, Karros scored.6–0
  7. 6th InningRealmuto doubled to right, Marsh scored.6–2
  8. 8th InningCrawford homered to right center (361 feet), Stott scored.7–7
  9. 7th InningFreeman homered to left center (364 feet).7–2
  10. 6th InningSchwarber homered to right (415 feet).6–1
  11. 4th InningKarros doubled to left, Castro scored and Doyle scored, Karros to third.5–0
  12. 8th InningMarsh singled to left, Harper scored, García to second.7–3

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