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Final GameCast

Final score, key plays, top performers, and full tables stay one tap apart for quick review.

Final

Top Performers

Key Plays

  • Late home run1-1McKinstry safe at first on throwing error by first baseman Guerrero Jr..7th Inning
  • Go-ahead run2-1Varsho singled to center, Guerrero Jr. scored.10th Inning
  • Tied it1-1Pinango homered to right (348 feet).7th Inning
  • Go-ahead run0-1Vierling homered to left (364 feet).6th Inning

Box Score

Top Performers

Fantasy Signals

Matt Vierling 70
Detroit Tigers · Batting 2-4 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 R

Home run, RBI.

Signal 70/100Value #3667
Yohendrick Pinango 70
Toronto Blue Jays · Batting 2-4 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 R

Home run, RBI.

Signal 70/100Value #4103
Casey Mize 56
Detroit Tigers · Pitching 6.0 IP · 4 K

Starter innings, six-plus innings, run prevention.

Signal 56/100
Daulton Varsho 18
Toronto Blue Jays · Batting 2-3 · 1 RBI · 1 BB

RBI.

Signal 18/100Value #2088
Final NotesScore, top line, and support lines
  • Final frame: Toronto Blue Jays beat Detroit Tigers 2-1.
  • Top line: Casey Mize (Detroit Tigers) — 6.0 IP, 4 K.
  • Support line: Spencer Miles (Toronto Blue Jays) — 3.2 IP, 5 K.
  • Support line: Matt Vierling (Detroit Tigers) — 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 R.
HighlightsScoring plays from the feed
  1. ScoreVarsho singled to center, Guerrero Jr. scored.10th Inning2–1
  2. ScorePinango homered to right (348 feet).7th Inning1–1
  3. ScoreVierling homered to left (364 feet).6th Inning0–1

Scoring by Inning

Team12345678910RHE
Toronto Blue Jays0000001001251
Detroit Tigers0000010000170
Toronto Blue Jays player box 19 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table

Toronto Blue Jays

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
George SpringerValue card DH·0-4400000120.186.272.294
Yohendrick PinangoValue card LF·2-4412110111.364.404.477
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.Value card 1B·0-4410000013.280.370.360
Kazuma OkamotoValue card 3B·0-4400000111.233.319.448
Daulton VarshoValue card CF·2-3302101012.253.325.407
Jesus SanchezValue card RF·0-3300000217.256.297.406
Myles StrawValue card RF0-110000003.286.363.414
Lenyn SosaValue card 2B·1-440100006.217.213.333
Andres GimenezValue card SS·0-330000009.245.271.408
Ernie ClementValue card 2B0-110000002.289.311.399
Tyler HeinemanValue card C·0-220000007.150.190.150
Davis SchneiderValue card LF0-110000014.138.324.241
Brandon ValenzuelaValue card C0-000000000.231.315.431

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Mason FluhartyValue card RP·1.110003018-134.9618
Spencer MilesValue card RP3.220025056-362.5556
Braydon FisherValue card RP1.011102120-133.2820
Tommy NanceValue card RP1.000001020-143.8620
Tyler RogersValue card RP1.010001011-81.7711
Louis VarlandValue card RP2.020002026-190.3826
Detroit Tigers player box 17 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table

Detroit Tigers

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Kevin McGonigleValue card SS·2-5502000115.291.397.424
Dillon DinglerValue card C·0-4400001221.243.314.472
Hao-Yu LeeValue card 3B·0-110000015.196.255.333
Gage WorkmanValue card 3B0-330000029.222.222.667
Matt VierlingValue card CF·2-4412110010.213.281.380
Riley GreeneValue card LF·1-4401000222.327.419.485
Spencer TorkelsonValue card 1B·1-4401000320.201.322.383
Zach McKinstryValue card 2B·1-4401000016.178.250.260
Wenceel PerezValue card RF·0-3300000013.163.214.250
Colt KeithValue card 3B0-110000013.302.343.365
Zack ShortValue card SS0-000000000.000.308.000
Jake RogersValue card C·0-3300001217.146.213.244

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Casey MizeValue card SP·6.020004071-512.4371
Kyle FinneganValue card RP1.011110113-91.6613
Connor SeaboldValue card RP1.00000108-63.758
Kenley JansenValue card RP1.000001012-73.6512
Tyler HoltonValue card RP1.021000011-74.5011

Key Plays

Scoring and Swing Plays

Scoring, late-game swings, and high-leverage moments from the game feed.

  1. Late home run · 7th InningMcKinstry safe at first on throwing error by first baseman Guerrero Jr..1–1
  2. Go-ahead run · 10th InningVarsho singled to center, Guerrero Jr. scored.2–1
  3. Tied it · 7th InningPinango homered to right (348 feet).1–1
  4. Go-ahead run · 6th InningVierling homered to left (364 feet).0–1
  5. Double · 5th InningVarsho doubled to right.0–0
  6. Double · 10th InningSosa doubled to left, Varsho to third.2–1

Game Read

A transparent matchup read built from team strength, recent scoreboard history, league volatility, and available starter/bullpen context. It is analysis, not betting advice.

Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM ET78°F · 11 mph wind · mostly clearProbables: Mason Fluharty vs Casey MizeESPN UnlmtdMLB.TV4359221Tigers.TV
Result readToronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue Jays 2 · Detroit Tigers 1

Final
Toronto Blue Jays21-27-1-0.3 net/g (schedule-adjusted -0.2) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
Detroit Tigers20-29-0.4 net/g (schedule-adjusted -0.4) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 20%
Home VenueComerica ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating points

Toronto Blue Jays gets the nod thanks to Toronto Blue Jays’s margin advantage, with Toronto Blue Jays’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Toronto Blue Jays at 65%. Actual: Toronto Blue Jays by 1.

Model: rafty-v2.0. Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, schedule-adjusted margin, recent form, rest, home venue, league volatility, and MLB starter/bullpen context when available. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.

Interactive Rafty tool

Rafty Game Lab

Move the context sliders to see how Rafty’s matchup lean reacts before it becomes a public pick.

rafty-v2.0
Current lean Toronto Blue Jays
63% Detroit Tigers win probability 37%

Move a control to see what would swing the pick.

    Why This Pick?

    • Toronto Blue Jays: Team baseline-11.4
    • Detroit Tigers: Home venue+1.0
    • Detroit Tigers: Starter context+0.7
    Model check
    Live model: Toronto Blue Jays 63%
    v3 candidate: Toronto Blue Jays 75%
    Same pick; home probability -12.0 pp, confidence +12.0 pp
    • Toronto Blue Jays: day start profile -1.31
    • Toronto Blue Jays: v2 shadow probability -0.16
    • Detroit Tigers: home recent win pct +0.09
    Preview v3 controls
    Copies the current sliders and toggles into this matchup link.

    For entertainment and analysis only. This tool does not use betting odds, spreads, parlays, or wagering advice.

    Key Players to Watch

    Injury Report

    Detroit Tigers

    Gleyber Torres10-Day-ILTrey Sweeney60-Day-ILKerry Carpenter10-Day-ILBeau Brieske60-Day-ILBailey Horn60-Day-IL

    Toronto Blue Jays

    Fernando Perezdevelopmental listErnie ClementDay-To-DayNathan Lukes10-Day-ILYimi Garcia60-Day-ILCJ StubbsDay-To-Day
    On The Diamond

    A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

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