HOU @ MIN
Target Field · Minneapolis, Minnesota
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Fast path
Final
Final GameCast
Final score, key plays, top performers, and full tables stay one tap apart for quick review.
Box ScorePlayer tables readyKey PlaysScoring swings readyGame ReadMatchup contextPlayersNames to watch
Top Performers
- Josh Bell3-4, 2 HR, 4 RBI, 2 R
- Kendry Rojas4.0 IP, 3 K
- Tatsuya Imai4.2 IP, 5 K, 3 ER
Key Plays
- Late run3-6Walker singled to right, Vázquez scored, Alvarez to third.7th Inning
- Late home run3-6Yoendrys Gomez pitches to Christian Vazquez9th Inning
- Late home run3-6Justin Topa pitches to Christian Walker7th Inning
- Late home run3-6Taylor Rogers pitches to Christian Walker9th Inning
Box Score
Top Performers
Fantasy Signals
Home run, RBI, three-plus RBI.
RBI.
RBI, walk volume.
RBI.
RBI.
Final NotesScore, top line, and support lines
- Final frame: Minnesota Twins beat Houston Astros 6-3.
- Top line: Josh Bell (Minnesota Twins) — 3-4, 2 HR, 4 RBI, 2 R.
- Support line: Kendry Rojas (Minnesota Twins) — 4.0 IP, 3 K.
- Support line: Tatsuya Imai (Houston Astros) — 4.2 IP, 5 K, 3 ER.
HighlightsScoring plays from the feed
- ScorePeña hit sacrifice fly to right, Smith scored.2–6
- ScoreWalker singled to right, Vázquez scored, Alvarez to third.3–6
- ScoreBell homered to left (381 feet), Larnach scored.0–3
- ScoreVázquez singled to center, Matthews scored, Smith to third.1–6
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Astros | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| Minnesota Twins | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | — | 6 | 9 | 0 |
Houston Astros player box 13 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table
Houston Astros
· Starter
Batting#
- Jeremy Pena 0H0R1RBI0HR
- Isaac Paredes 1H0R0RBI0HR
- Yordan Alvarez 1H0R0RBI0HR
- Christian Walker 2H0R1RBI0HR
- Zach Dezenzo 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Zach Cole 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Braden Shewmake 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Brice Matthews 1H1R0RBI0HR
- Cam Smith 1H1R0RBI0HR
- Christian Vazquez 1H1R1RBI0HR
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy PenaValue card SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .239 | .294 | .326 |
| Isaac ParedesValue card 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | .250 | .343 | .372 |
| Yordan AlvarezValue card DH· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | .316 | .427 | .633 |
| Christian WalkerValue card 1B· | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | .267 | .343 | .511 |
| Zach DezenzoValue card LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .207 | .258 | .379 |
| Zach ColeValue card LF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .205 | .225 | .462 |
| Braden ShewmakeValue card SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .308 | .308 | .519 |
| Brice MatthewsValue card CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | .207 | .262 | .362 |
| Cam SmithValue card RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .199 | .294 | .314 |
| Christian VazquezValue card C· | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | .250 | .323 | .405 |
Pitching#
- Tatsuya Imai 5H3R2HR0BB
- Jayden Murray 4H3R0HR2BB
- AJ Blubaugh 0H0R0HR1BB
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatsuya ImaiValue card SP· | 4.2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 74-53 | 8.31 | 74 |
| Jayden MurrayValue card RP | 1.1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25-12 | 7.15 | 25 |
| AJ BlubaughValue card RP | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 32-19 | 4.71 | 32 |
Minnesota Twins player box 17 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table
Minnesota Twins
· Starter
Batting#
- Austin Martin 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Trevor Larnach 1H2R0RBI0HR
- Ryan Jeffers 1H1R0RBI0HR
- Victor Caratini 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Kody Clemens 0H1R0RBI0HR
- Josh Bell 3H2R4RBI2HR
- Luke Keaschall 1H0R2RBI0HR
- Brooks Lee 1H0R0RBI0HR
- Tristan Gray 1H0R0RBI0HR
- James Outman 1H0R0RBI0HR
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin MartinValue card LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .303 | .425 | .387 |
| Trevor LarnachValue card LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | .267 | .394 | .400 |
| Ryan JeffersValue card C· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .295 | .408 | .541 |
| Victor CaratiniValue card C | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .192 | .299 | .231 |
| Kody ClemensValue card 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | .239 | .338 | .434 |
| Josh BellValue card DH· | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .223 | .286 | .361 |
| Luke KeaschallValue card 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | .232 | .314 | .310 |
| Brooks LeeValue card SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .248 | .301 | .379 |
| Tristan GrayValue card 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .236 | .282 | .375 |
| James OutmanValue card CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .188 | .235 | .292 |
Pitching#
- Kendry Rojas 2H0R0HR1BB
- Simeon Woods Richardson 1H0R0HR1BB
- Andrew Morris 1H0R0HR1BB
- Justin Topa 3H3R0HR1BB
- Eric Orze 0H0R0HR0BB
- Yoendrys Gomez 0H0R0HR2BB
- Taylor Rogers 0H0R0HR0BB
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendry RojasValue card SP· | 4.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 46-31 | 1.59 | 46 |
| Simeon Woods RichardsonValue card SP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18-10 | 7.53 | 18 |
| Andrew MorrisValue card RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16-8 | 4.50 | 16 |
| Justin TopaValue card RP | 0.2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 31-17 | 8.05 | 31 |
| Eric OrzeValue card RP | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19-11 | 3.63 | 19 |
| Yoendrys GomezValue card RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11-3 | 5.23 | 11 |
| Taylor RogersValue card RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11-6 | 3.86 | 11 |
Keep following: Today’s scores·Player values·Morning Line
Key Plays
Scoring and Swing Plays
Scoring, late-game swings, and high-leverage moments from the game feed.
- Late score · 7th InningPeña hit sacrifice fly to right, Smith scored.2–6
- Late run · 7th InningWalker singled to right, Vázquez scored, Alvarez to third.3–6
- Double · 1st InningDezenzo lined into double play, shortstop to second, Paredes doubled off second.0–0
- Late score · 7th InningVázquez singled to center, Matthews scored, Smith to third.1–6
- Go-ahead run · 2nd InningBell homered to center (429 feet).0–1
- Double · 6th InningJeffers doubled to right, Larnach to third.0–3
- Late home run · 9th InningYoendrys Gomez pitches to Christian Vazquez3–6
- Late home run · 7th InningJustin Topa pitches to Christian Walker3–6
- Late home run · 9th InningTaylor Rogers pitches to Christian Walker3–6
- Late home run · 7th InningJustin Topa pitches to Christian Vazquez1–6
Game Read
A transparent matchup read built from team strength, recent scoreboard history, league volatility, and available starter/bullpen context. It is analysis, not betting advice.
Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM CTProbables: Tatsuya Imai vs Kendry RojasMLB.TVTwins.TV
Result readMinnesota Twins
Houston Astros 3 · Minnesota Twins 6
Final
Houston Astros20-31-1-1.1 net/g (schedule-adjusted -1.2) · expected win rate 40% · last 10: 40%
Minnesota Twins23-27-0.0 net/g (schedule-adjusted -0.1) · expected win rate 50% · last 10: 60%
Home VenueTarget FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating points
The projection leans Minnesota Twins because Minnesota Twins owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Minnesota Twins has the recent-form edge. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Minnesota Twins at 63%. Actual: Minnesota Twins by 3.
Pre-game pick: Minnesota Twins at 63%. Actual: Minnesota Twins by 3.
Model: rafty-v2.0. Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, schedule-adjusted margin, recent form, rest, home venue, league volatility, and MLB starter/bullpen context when available. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.
Interactive Rafty tool
rafty-v2.0
Rafty Game Lab
Move the context sliders to see how Rafty’s matchup lean reacts before it becomes a public pick.
Current lean
Minnesota Twins
71%
Minnesota Twins win probability 71%
Move a control to see what would swing the pick.
Why This Pick?
- Minnesota Twins: Team baseline+20.4
- Minnesota Twins: Starter context+2.5
- Minnesota Twins: Home venue+1.0
Model check
Live model: Minnesota Twins
71%
v3 candidate: Minnesota Twins
63%
Same pick; home probability -8.2 pp, confidence -8.2 pp
- Minnesota Twins: v2 shadow probability +0.23
- Houston Astros: scoring-margin gap -0.23
- Minnesota Twins: away pythag +0.14
Copies or saves the current sliders and toggles.
Scenario presets
For entertainment and analysis only. This tool does not use betting odds, spreads, parlays, or wagering advice.
Key Players to Watch
Houston Astros
- Mike Burrows SP · #50
- Lance McCullers Jr. SP · #43
- Kai-Wei Teng RP · #17
- Christian Walker 1B · #8
Minnesota Twins
- Bailey Ober SP · #17
- Joe Ryan SP · #41
- Josh Bell 1B · #56
- Luke Keaschall 2B · #15
Injury Report
Minnesota Twins
Cody Laweryson15-Day-ILCory LewisDay-To-DayJulian MerryweatherDay-To-DayTaj Bradley15-Day-ILMatt CanterinoDay-To-Day
Houston Astros
Bennett Sousa15-Day-ILYainer Diaz10-Day-ILWalker JanekDay-To-DayTaylor Trammell10-Day-ILJosh Hader60-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.