Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor7:30 PM ETPrime Video
Result readToronto Raptors

Cleveland Cavaliers 110 · Toronto Raptors 112

Final
Cleveland Cavaliers56-35+3.6 net/g (SOS-adj +3.5) · expected win rate 61% · last 10: 50%
Toronto Raptors49-40+2.5 net/g (SOS-adj +2.5) · expected win rate 58% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeScotiabank ArenaHome adjustment: +2.2 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Toronto Raptors: Cleveland Cavaliers’s scoring margin profile and Toronto Raptors’s recent stretch. Pace, bench minutes, and shooting variance are the main swing factors.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Toronto Raptors at 54%. Actual: Toronto Raptors by 2.

Players to Watch

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Game Leaders

Cleveland CavaliersEvan Mobley26 pts
Toronto RaptorsScottie Barnes25 pts

Injury Report

Toronto Raptors

Brandon IngramOutImmanuel QuickleyOutChucky HepburnOut

Cleveland Cavaliers

Sam MerrillDay-To-Day

On The Court

A quick look at where each team's starters slot in. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🎯 3-PointerRJ Barrett makes 29-foot three pointer (Scottie Barnes assists)OT · 1.2110–112
  2. ScoreJamal Shead makes free throw 1 of 2OT · 25.6110–109
  3. ScoreDonovan Mitchell makes 2-foot two point shotOT · 33.7110–108
  4. ScoreScottie Barnes makes 8-foot driving floating jump shot (Jamal Shead assists)OT · 1:25108–108
  5. ScoreJames Harden makes 12-foot pullup jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)OT · 1:36108–106
  6. ScoreJames Harden makes driving layup (Evan Mobley assists)OT · 3:31106–106

Scoring by Period

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTT
Cleveland Cavaliers321930236110
Toronto Raptors322931128112

Team Stats

Cleveland Cavaliers Stat Toronto Raptors
40-93FG40-87
11-413PT13-36
19-27FT19-23
52REB38
23AST27
8STL13
4BLK9
18TO15

Cleveland Cavaliers

PlayerMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF+/-
Jarrett Allen C·34146-80-02-671012342+8
Evan Mobley C·41269-153-75-81433104102-3
James Harden G·44165-141-45-599421542+11
Donovan Mitchell G·412411-262-100-052301052-4
Max Strus G·2062-62-40-053100141-4
Dean Wade F28104-82-60-050210234+10
Thomas Bryant C700-10-10-020000111-7
Dennis Schroder G1670-40-17-801220002-9
Sam Merrill G1821-50-30-011110103-6
Jaylon Tyson G1652-61-50-043200222-6

Toronto Raptors

PlayerMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF+/-
RJ Barrett F·43248-214-124-593510274+9
Scottie Barnes F·482511-210-23-4714333252+2
Jakob Poeltl C·2221-30-00-0410212230
Jamal Shead G·3372-92-71-216210015+6
Ja'Kobe Walter G·43247-134-96-650031054-6
Sandro Mamukelashvili F1421-30-10-041011040+4
Jamison Battle F1152-41-20-000000001-6
Collin Murray-Boyles F40176-100-05-672423434+2
A.J. Lawson G1062-32-30-010100012-1

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. OT · 0.0End of Game
  2. OT · 0.0End of the 1st Overtime
  3. OT · 0.1Cavaliers offensive team rebound
  4. OT · 0.6Evan Mobley misses 28-foot three point jumper
  5. OT · 1.2Max Strus enters the game for Jarrett Allen
  6. OT · 1.2Cavaliers Full timeout
  7. OT · 1.2RJ Barrett makes 29-foot three pointer (Scottie Barnes assists)110–112
  8. OT · 10.9Dean Wade enters the game for Max Strus
  9. OT · 10.9Jarrett Allen enters the game for Dennis Schroder
  10. OT · 10.9Jamal Shead enters the game for A.J. Lawson
  11. OT · 10.9Evan Mobley out of bounds lost ball turnover
  12. OT · 18.8A.J. Lawson enters the game for Jamal Shead

Scoring Plays

  1. OT · 1.2RJ Barrett makes 29-foot three pointer (Scottie Barnes assists)110–112
  2. OT · 25.6Jamal Shead makes free throw 1 of 2110–109
  3. OT · 33.7Donovan Mitchell makes 2-foot two point shot110–108
  4. OT · 1:25Scottie Barnes makes 8-foot driving floating jump shot (Jamal Shead assists)108–108
  5. OT · 1:36James Harden makes 12-foot pullup jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)108–106
  6. OT · 3:31James Harden makes driving layup (Evan Mobley assists)106–106
  7. OT · 4:19Collin Murray-Boyles makes 16-foot jumper (Jamal Shead assists)104–106
  8. 4th Quarter · 11.6Evan Mobley makes two point shot (Max Strus assists)104–104
  9. 4th Quarter · 1:17Scottie Barnes makes free throw 2 of 2102–104
  10. 4th Quarter · 1:42Evan Mobley makes 23-foot three point jumper (James Harden assists)102–103
  11. 4th Quarter · 1:54Ja'Kobe Walter makes 25-foot three point jumper (Jamal Shead assists)99–103
  12. 4th Quarter · 3:05Donovan Mitchell makes running layup99–100
  13. 4th Quarter · 3:36Evan Mobley makes dunk (Donovan Mitchell assists)97–100
  14. 4th Quarter · 3:58Ja'Kobe Walter makes 2-foot layup (Scottie Barnes assists)95–100
  15. 4th Quarter · 5:04Collin Murray-Boyles makes free throw 2 of 295–98
  16. 4th Quarter · 5:04Collin Murray-Boyles makes free throw 1 of 295–97
  17. 4th Quarter · 5:48Evan Mobley makes dunk95–96
  18. 4th Quarter · 6:54Donovan Mitchell makes driving layup93–96
  19. 4th Quarter · 7:33Donovan Mitchell makes 22-foot running jump shot (James Harden assists)91–96
  20. 4th Quarter · 7:57Dean Wade makes 22-foot three point jumper (James Harden assists)88–96
  21. 4th Quarter · 8:50Scottie Barnes makes two point shot85–96
  22. 4th Quarter · 10:54Donovan Mitchell makes 9-foot floating jump shot85–94
  23. 4th Quarter · 11:13Scottie Barnes makes 12-foot fade away jump shot83–94
  24. 4th Quarter · 11:38Donovan Mitchell makes 8-foot floating jump shot (Jarrett Allen assists)83–92
  25. 3rd Quarter · 1:09A.J. Lawson makes 27-foot three point jumper (Collin Murray-Boyles assists)81–92

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