TOR @ CHW
Rate Field · Chicago, Illinois
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM CT40°F · 11 mph wind · overcast⚾ Dylan Cease vs Grant TaylorMLB.TV
Result readChicago White Sox
Toronto Blue Jays 4 · Chicago White Sox 5
Final
Toronto Blue Jays18-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
Chicago White Sox19-21-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeRate FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Chicago White Sox is the model’s call — Toronto Blue Jays on the margin numbers, Chicago White Sox on the form numbers. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Chicago White Sox at 61%. Actual: Chicago White Sox by 1.
Pre-game pick: Chicago White Sox at 61%. Actual: Chicago White Sox by 1.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Toronto Blue Jays
- Kevin Gausman SP · #34
- Dylan Cease SP · #84
- Braydon Fisher RP · #63
- Mason Fluharty RP · #68
Chicago White Sox
- Davis Martin SP · #65
- Grant Taylor RP · #31
- Anthony Kay SP · #18
- Bryan Hudson RP · #60
Injury Report
Chicago White Sox
Andrew BenintendiDay-To-DayAustin Hays10-Day-ILEverson Pereira10-Day-ILKyle Teel10-Day-ILKy Bush60-Day-IL
Toronto Blue Jays
Javen ColemanDay-To-DayNathan Lukes10-Day-ILCJ StubbsDay-To-DayLazaro Estrada15-Day-ILFernando Perezdevelopmental list
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreHays singled to left, Vargas scored and Montgomery scored.1–3
- 🏃 DoubleKirk doubled to left, Barger scored.1–1
- 💣 Home RunSchneider scored on error, Springer safe at first on throwing error by third baseman Vargas.4–3
- ScorePeters singled to right, Hill scored.4–5
- 💣 Home RunHill reached on bunt single to catcher, Vargas scored on error, Hill safe at second on throwing error by catcher Heineman.4–4
- ScoreGiménez homered to right (361 feet), Clement scored.3–3
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Blue Jays | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| Chicago White Sox | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
Toronto Blue Jays
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Springer DH· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | .167 | .265 | .400 |
| Jesus Sanchez LF· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | .286 | .400 | .429 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .292 | .452 | .292 |
| Addison Barger RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .063 | .158 | .125 |
| Myles Straw RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .667 | .667 | .667 |
| Alejandro Kirk C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .150 | .227 | .350 |
| Tyler Heineman C | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .429 | .500 | .429 |
| Daulton Varsho CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .182 | .250 | .227 |
| Kazuma Okamoto 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | .250 | .323 | .464 |
| Davis Schneider LF | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .286 | .286 | .714 |
| Ernie Clement 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .310 | .310 | .414 |
| Andres Gimenez SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .346 | .393 | .654 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease SP· | 4.1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 93-51 | 2.79 | 93 |
| Braydon Fisher RP | 1.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 21-15 | 0.00 | 21 |
| Brendon Little RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17-11 | 18.90 | 17 |
| Louis Varland RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15-9 | 0.00 | 15 |
| Tyler Rogers RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12-8 | 0.00 | 12 |
| Jeff Hoffman RP | 0.2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14-9 | 1.93 | 14 |
Chicago White Sox
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Meidroth 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | .227 | .346 | .409 |
| Munetaka Murakami 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | .240 | .367 | .600 |
| Miguel Vargas 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | .217 | .321 | .391 |
| Colson Montgomery SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | .192 | .276 | .308 |
| Austin Hays LF· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | .167 | .167 | .333 |
| Andrew Benintendi LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .211 | .250 | .211 |
| Derek Hill RF | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .500 | .333 |
| Tristan Peters CF· | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | .350 | .409 | .400 |
| Edgar Quero C· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .176 | .222 | .176 |
| Lenyn Sosa 2B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Reese McGuire C | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Luisangel Acuna CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .222 | .300 | .222 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Taylor RP· | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9-9 | 3.00 | 9 |
| Sean Burke SP | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 85-62 | 3.60 | 85 |
| Jordan Leasure RP | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17-9 | 8.31 | 17 |
| Sean Newcomb RP | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8-6 | 4.76 | 8 |
| Seranthony Dominguez RP | 1.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22-14 | 6.75 | 22 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 9th InningOkamoto struck out swinging.
Scoring Plays
- 3rd InningHays singled to left, Vargas scored and Montgomery scored.1–3
- 2nd InningKirk doubled to left, Barger scored.1–1
- 10th InningSchneider scored on error, Springer safe at first on throwing error by third baseman Vargas.4–3
- 10th InningPeters singled to right, Hill scored.4–5
- 10th InningHill reached on bunt single to catcher, Vargas scored on error, Hill safe at second on throwing error by catcher Heineman.4–4
- 8th InningGiménez homered to right (361 feet), Clement scored.3–3
- 1st InningMeidroth scored on error, Vargas safe at first on error by pitcher Cease, Murakami to second.0–1