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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM CT⚾ Mason Fluharty vs Grant TaylorMLB.TV
Result readChicago White Sox

Toronto Blue Jays 3 · Chicago White Sox 6

Final
Toronto Blue Jays18-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
Chicago White Sox19-21-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeRate FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Chicago White Sox is the model’s call — Toronto Blue Jays on the margin numbers, Chicago White Sox on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Chicago White Sox at 60%. Actual: Chicago White Sox by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Toronto Blue Jays

Chicago White Sox

Injury Report

Chicago White Sox

Andrew BenintendiDay-To-DayAustin Hays10-Day-ILEverson Pereira10-Day-ILKyle Teel10-Day-ILKy Bush60-Day-IL

Toronto Blue Jays

Javen ColemanDay-To-DayNathan Lukes10-Day-ILCJ StubbsDay-To-DayLazaro Estrada15-Day-ILFernando Perezdevelopmental list
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreMurakami hit sacrifice fly to center, Sosa scored.1st Inning0–1
  2. ScoreMontgomery homered to right (348 feet).6th Inning2–4
  3. 💣 Home RunAcuña reached on infield single to second, Vargas scored and Hays scored on throwing error by catcher Heineman, Acuña out stretching at third.8th Inning3–6
  4. 💣 Home RunLukes sacrificed into double play, right to first to third, Straw scored, Heineman thrown out at third.7th Inning3–4
  5. ScoreMurakami homered to center (431 feet), Vargas scored.6th Inning2–3
  6. ScoreGuerrero Jr. homered to left center (437 feet), Schneider scored.6th Inning2–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Toronto Blue Jays000002100361
Chicago White Sox10000302671

Toronto Blue Jays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
George Springer DH·0-4400001122.147.256.353
Davis Schneider LF·1-2211001011.333.400.667
Nathan Lukes RF0-110010007.182.231.182
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B·1-4411210121.286.429.393
Kazuma Okamoto 3B·1-3301001015.258.343.452
Daulton Varsho CF·0-3300001016.160.250.200
Ernie Clement 2B·0-4400000022.273.273.364
Myles Straw RF·1-3311000012.556.556.556
Addison Barger RF0-000000105.063.200.125
Andres Gimenez SS·0-4400000010.300.344.567
Tyler Heineman C·1-330100008.400.455.400
Jesus Sanchez LF1-110100005.318.423.455

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Mason Fluharty RP·1.021110020-1210.1320
Lazaro Estrada RP4.000023066-440.0066
Brendon Little RP0.133301213-824.5513
Tommy Nance RP1.200001020-142.2520
Braydon Fisher RP1.022011025-150.0025

Chicago White Sox

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Chase Meidroth 2B·0-4400000021.192.300.346
Lenyn Sosa 2B·1-3311000018.071.071.071
Andrew Benintendi LF0-110000003.200.238.200
Miguel Vargas 3B·2-2222002019.280.406.520
Munetaka Murakami 1B·1-3311310116.250.353.679
Austin Hays LF·1-3311001210.185.214.333
Colson Montgomery SS·1-3311111118.207.303.414
Luisangel Acuna CF·1-4401000116.227.292.227
Reese McGuire C·0-3300000010.000.000.000
Tristan Peters CF·0-3300000113.304.360.348

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Grant Taylor RP·1.00000109-52.259
Anthony Kay SP4.132220176-464.0076
Chris Murphy RP1.021100010-712.4610
Jordan Hicks RP1.100010019-127.3619
Sean Newcomb RP0.100010016-114.5016
Seranthony Dominguez RP1.010011024-144.9124

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningVarsho walked.
  2. 8th InningGuerrero Jr. flied out to right.
  3. 7th InningSpringer walked, Heineman to second.
  4. 2nd InningClement grounded into fielder's choice to pitcher, Okamoto out at second.

Scoring Plays

  1. 1st InningMurakami hit sacrifice fly to center, Sosa scored.0–1
  2. 6th InningMontgomery homered to right (348 feet).2–4
  3. 8th InningAcuña reached on infield single to second, Vargas scored and Hays scored on throwing error by catcher Heineman, Acuña out stretching at third.3–6
  4. 7th InningLukes sacrificed into double play, right to first to third, Straw scored, Heineman thrown out at third.3–4
  5. 6th InningMurakami homered to center (431 feet), Vargas scored.2–3
  6. 6th InningGuerrero Jr. homered to left center (437 feet), Schneider scored.2–1

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