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In The Rafters

HOU @ CLE

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:10 PM ET58°F · 13 mph wind · overcast⚾ Ryan Weiss vs Parker MessickMLB.TVCLEGuardians.TV
Result readCleveland Guardians

Houston Astros 5 · Cleveland Guardians 8

Final
Houston Astros16-25-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 43% · last 10: 50%
Cleveland Guardians21-21-1-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeProgressive FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Cleveland Guardians gets the model’s nod thanks to Cleveland Guardians’s margin advantage, with Cleveland Guardians’s recent run providing the second tip. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Cleveland Guardians at 60%. Actual: Cleveland Guardians by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Houston Astros

Cleveland Guardians

Injury Report

Cleveland Guardians

Gabriel Arias10-Day-ILShawn Armstrong15-Day-ILAndrew Walters15-Day-ILCarlos HernandezDay-To-Day

Houston Astros

Tatsuya Imai15-Day-ILLance McCullers Jr.Day-To-DayWalker JanekDay-To-DayLucas SpenceDay-To-DayYainer Diaz10-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Houston Astros
YA Yordan Alvarez LF · #44 DJ Daniel Johnson CF · #31 CS Cam Smith RF · #11 IP Isaac Paredes 3B · #15 CC Carlos Correa SS · #1 JA Jose Altuve 2B · #27 CW C. Walker 1B · #8 MB Mike Burrows P · #50 YD Yainer Diaz C · #21
Cleveland Guardians
AM Angel Martinez LF · #1 SK Steven Kwan CF · #38 CD Chase DeLauter RF · #24 JR Jose Ramirez 3B · #11 BR Brayan Rocchio SS · #4 TB Travis Bazzana 2B · #37 KM Kyle Manzardo 1B · #9 GW Gavin Williams P · #32 BN Bo Naylor C · #23

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreManzardo singled to right, DeLauter scored and Ramírez scored.8th Inning4–8
  2. 🏃 TripleDeLauter tripled to left, Martínez scored, Rocchio scored and Kwan scored.8th Inning4–6
  3. ScoreCorrea reached on infield single to second, Smith scored, D. Johnson to second, Diaz to third.7th Inning4–2
  4. ScoreMartínez homered to right center (399 feet).2nd Inning0–2
  5. 🏃 DoubleAlvarez doubled to left, Matthews scored.9th Inning5–8
  6. ScoreAlvarez singled to left, Diaz scored and Harris scored, Alvarez out stretching at second, Correa to third.5th Inning3–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Houston Astros0000301015100
Cleveland Guardians11000006—8111

Houston Astros

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Carlos Correa SS·2-4402101119.286.371.381
Yordan Alvarez LF·2-5502300021.330.456.747
Jose Altuve 2B·0-5500000230.266.367.426
Christian Walker 1B·0-4400000018.261.353.511
Isaac Paredes 3B·1-3311001015.225.337.366
Cam Smith RF·2-4412000118.250.337.417
Yainer Diaz C·1-4411000017.197.224.282
Brice Matthews LF·2-3312100114.176.263.353
Dustin Harris LF·0-111000005.000.250.000
Daniel Johnson CF0-000000105.0001.000.000

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Ryan Weiss RP·3.152244186-486.5086
Colton Gordon SP1.020001017-108.5917
Kai-Wei Teng RP2.200012031-161.6531
Enyel De Los Santos RP0.123310015-94.5015
Bryan King RP0.223320015-84.2215

Cleveland Guardians

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Steven Kwan CF·1-3311002021.223.308.287
Chase DeLauter RF·1-4411301023.221.322.506
Jose Ramirez 3B·1-3321002017.233.367.489
Kyle Manzardo 1B·2-4402201020.200.282.257
George Valera LF·1-5501100113.273.304.364
Daniel Schneemann CF·1-2211002119.309.387.527
Angel Martinez LF·2-4422110221.275.324.464
Austin Hedges C·1-2201000110.267.303.333
Bo Naylor C0-220000016.137.200.216
Brayan Rocchio SS·1-4411100114.284.384.446

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Parker Messick SP·5.063314085-541.7685
Shawn Armstrong RP1.000000011-84.2211
Connor Brogdon RP0.111000011-66.5211
Tim Herrin RP0.210000016-100.0016
Peyton Pallette RP1.000010021-103.3821
Cade Smith RP1.021111018-94.5018

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningAltuve struck out looking.
  2. 8th InningSchneemann walked.
  3. 5th InningMartínez struck out looking.
  4. 1st InningAltuve struck out swinging.
  5. 9th InningPitch 8 : Strike 3 Looking

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningManzardo singled to right, DeLauter scored and Ramírez scored.4–8
  2. 8th InningDeLauter tripled to left, Martínez scored, Rocchio scored and Kwan scored.4–6
  3. 7th InningCorrea reached on infield single to second, Smith scored, D. Johnson to second, Diaz to third.4–2
  4. 2nd InningMartínez homered to right center (399 feet).0–2
  5. 9th InningAlvarez doubled to left, Matthews scored.5–8
  6. 5th InningAlvarez singled to left, Diaz scored and Harris scored, Alvarez out stretching at second, Correa to third.3–2
  7. 5th InningMatthews singled to center, Paredes scored, Matthews out stretching at second, Diaz to third.1–2
  8. 1st InningValera singled to left, Ramírez scored, Manzardo to second.0–1
  9. 8th InningRocchio singled to center, Schneemann scored, Martínez to second.4–3

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