CHC @ NYM
Citi Field · Queens, New York
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Chicago Cubs 5.4 · New York Mets 3.1
Two reasons the projection lands on Chicago Cubs: Chicago Cubs’s scoring margin profile and Chicago Cubs’s recent stretch. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Three things to watch
- Form gap. Chicago Cubs is 80% over their recent sample; New York Mets is 55%. Streaky teams tend to carry one more game than the math allows for.
- Net efficiency. Chicago Cubs projects 61% from points-for vs points-allowed; New York Mets sits at 41%.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Chicago Cubs
- Edward Cabrera SP · #30
- Jameson Taillon SP · #50
- Alex Bregman 3B · #3
- Nico Hoerner 2B · #2
New York Mets
- Freddy Peralta SP · #51
- Clay Holmes SP · #35
- Tobias Myers RP · #32
- Bo Bichette 3B · #19
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.