Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameIndoor12:00 AM ET
Model pickNew York Knicks

Philadelphia 76ers 105 · New York Knicks 122

84%confidence
Philadelphia 76ers50-43-0.9 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
New York Knicks61-31+7.5 net/g (SOS-adj +7.2) · expected win rate 72% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeMadison Square GardenHome adjustment: +2.2 rating pts

Pick goes to New York Knicks on the back of New York Knicks’s margin work and New York Knicks’s last-ten momentum. Foul trouble for either side's anchor wing is the biggest single risk to the projection.

Three things to watch

  • Form gap. New York Knicks is 70% over their recent sample; Philadelphia 76ers is 40%. Streaky teams tend to carry one more game than the math allows for.
  • Net efficiency. New York Knicks projects 72% from points-for vs points-allowed; Philadelphia 76ers sits at 47%.
  • Scoring margin. New York Knicks at +7.5 per game vs. Philadelphia 76ers at -0.9 — a 8.4-point gap on the season.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Injury Report

New York Knicks

OG AnunobyDay-To-Day

Philadelphia 76ers

Joel EmbiidDay-To-Day
On The Court

A quick look at where each team's starters slot in. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.

Recent Form

New York Knicks

  • Wvs ATL126-97
  • W@ ATL140-89
  • Wvs PHI137-98
  • Wvs PHI108-102
  • W@ PHI108-94

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Wvs BOS106-93
  • W@ BOS109-100
  • L@ NY137-98
  • L@ NY108-102
  • Lvs NY108-94

Trending