CLE @ LAD
Dodger Stadium · Los Angeles, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor7:10 PM PT60°F · overcast⚾ Parker Messick vs Roki SasakiMLB.TVCLEGuardians.TV
Result readCleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians 4 · Los Angeles Dodgers 2
Final
Cleveland Guardians21-21-1-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Los Angeles Dodgers24-16+1.7 net/g (SOS-adj +1.6) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeDodger StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on Cleveland Guardians: Los Angeles Dodgers’s scoring margin profile and Cleveland Guardians’s recent stretch. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 73%. Actual: Cleveland Guardians by 2.
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 73%. Actual: Cleveland Guardians by 2.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Cleveland Guardians
- Gavin Williams SP · #32
- Joey Cantillo SP · #54
- Jose Ramirez 3B · #11
- Brayan Rocchio SS · #4
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Emmet Sheehan SP · #80
- Tyler Glasnow SP · #31
- Andy Pages CF · #44
- Shohei Ohtani DH · #17
Injury Report
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts10-Day-ILBen Casparius15-Day-ILTyler Glasnow15-Day-ILGavin Stone60-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol15-Day-IL
Cleveland Guardians
Gabriel Arias10-Day-ILShawn Armstrong15-Day-ILAndrew Walters15-Day-ILCarlos HernandezDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreFreeman grounded out to first, Betts scored.4–2
- 🏃 DoubleBetts doubled to left, Tucker scored.4–1
- ScoreHoskins walked, Hedges scored, Kwan to second, Martínez to third.2–0
- 🏃 DoubleSchneemann doubled to center, Martínez scored and Kwan scored, Hoskins to third.4–0
- 🏃 DoubleKwan doubled to right, Hedges scored.1–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Cleveland Guardians
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan CF· | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .318 | .318 | .364 |
| Chase DeLauter RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | .286 | .318 | .857 |
| Jose Ramirez 3B· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | .143 | .182 | .238 |
| Kyle Manzardo 1B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .111 | .158 | .111 |
| Rhys Hoskins 1B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | .429 | .600 | .571 |
| Daniel Schneemann CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .231 | .231 | .385 |
| Brayan Rocchio SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | .154 | .389 | .231 |
| Gabriel Arias SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .071 | .071 | .071 |
| Austin Hedges C· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .500 | .500 | .750 |
| Angel Martinez LF· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .300 | .300 | .400 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Messick SP· | 6.0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 76-51 | 0.00 | 76 |
| Shawn Armstrong RP | 0.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12-8 | 3.38 | 12 |
| Erik Sabrowski RP | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20-13 | 0.00 | 20 |
| Cade Smith RP | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29-19 | 9.00 | 29 |
Los Angeles Dodgers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani DH· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .167 | .412 | .167 |
| Kyle Tucker RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | .200 | .294 | .267 |
| Mookie Betts SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .200 | .294 | .467 |
| Teoscar Hernandez LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .143 | .143 | .143 |
| Freddie Freeman 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | .188 | .235 | .250 |
| Andy Pages CF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .286 | .286 | .500 |
| Max Muncy 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .250 | .455 | .250 |
| Miguel Rojas SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .444 | .444 | .556 |
| Dalton Rushing C· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .500 | .500 | .500 |
| Will Smith C | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .250 | .250 | .750 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roki Sasaki SP· | 4.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 78-45 | 2.25 | 78 |
| Tanner Scott RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16-12 | 0.00 | 16 |
| Justin Wrobleski SP | 4.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 60-39 | 6.75 | 60 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 9th InningFreeman grounded out to first, Betts scored.4–2
- 9th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
- 9th InningBetts doubled to left, Tucker scored.4–1
- 5th InningMuncy singled to center.
- 3rd InningOhtani lined out to center.
Scoring Plays
- 9th InningFreeman grounded out to first, Betts scored.4–2
- 9th InningBetts doubled to left, Tucker scored.4–1
- 7th InningHoskins walked, Hedges scored, Kwan to second, Martínez to third.2–0
- 7th InningSchneemann doubled to center, Martínez scored and Kwan scored, Hoskins to third.4–0
- 3rd InningKwan doubled to right, Hedges scored.1–0