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Final GameCast

Final score, key plays, top performers, and full tables stay one tap apart for quick review.

Final

Top Performers

Key Plays

  • Late home run1-4Christian Vázquez challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Joc Pederson walks.9th Inning
  • Late run1-4Pederson singled to center, Burger scored, Foscue to second.7th Inning
  • Go-ahead run0-1Altuve homered to left (358 feet).1st Inning
  • Late home run1-4Cal Quantrill pitches to Christian Vazquez8th Inning

Box Score

Top Performers

Fantasy Signals

Yordan Alvarez 70
Houston Astros · Batting 1-3 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 R

Home run, RBI.

Signal 70/100Value #826
Christian Walker 70
Houston Astros · Batting 1-3 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 R

Home run, RBI.

Signal 70/100Value #901
Jose Altuve 70
Houston Astros · Batting 1-4 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 R

Home run, RBI.

Signal 70/100Value #1561
Zach Cole 70
Houston Astros · Batting 1-3 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 R

Home run, RBI.

Signal 70/100
Kai-Wei Teng 58
Houston Astros · Pitching 5.0 IP · 7 K · 4 BB

Starter innings, six-plus strikeouts, run prevention.

Signal 58/100Value #3523
Jacob deGrom 36
Texas Rangers · Pitching 6.0 IP · 4 K · 4 ER · 4 HR

Starter innings, six-plus innings.

Signal 36/100Value #1000
Final NotesScore, top line, and support lines
  • Final frame: Houston Astros beat Texas Rangers 4-1.
  • Top line: Kai-Wei Teng (Houston Astros) — 5.0 IP, 7 K.
  • Support line: Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers) — 6.0 IP, 4 K, 4 ER.
  • Support line: Yordan Alvarez (Houston Astros) — 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 R.
HighlightsScoring plays from the feed
  1. ScoreAlvarez homered to right (362 feet).1st Inning0–2
  2. ScorePederson singled to center, Burger scored, Foscue to second.7th Inning1–4
  3. ScoreCole homered to right (361 feet).4th Inning0–4
  4. ScoreAltuve homered to left (358 feet).1st Inning0–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Texas Rangers000000100160
Houston Astros20020000450
Texas Rangers player box 12 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table

Texas Rangers

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Joc PedersonValue card DH·1-3301102122.214.333.330
Brandon NimmoValue card RF·0-5500000216.268.347.405
Josh JungValue card 3B·0-4400001121.308.358.484
Evan CarterValue card CF·0-1100002014.173.302.323
Andrew McCutchenValue card DH1-220100004.224.292.310
Ezequiel DuranValue card 2B·1-5501000117.270.339.441
Alejandro OsunaValue card LF·1-440100017.256.418.279
Jake BurgerValue card 1B·1-3311001119.226.269.384
Danny JansenValue card C·0-1100002015.193.304.330
Justin FoscueValue card 2B·1-4401000217.222.222.389

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jacob deGromValue card SP·6.054404494-603.0294
Cal QuantrillValue card RP2.000011025-163.3125
Houston Astros player box 17 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table

Houston Astros

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jose AltuveValue card 2B·1-4411110117.245.326.380
Nick AllenValue card SS0-000000000.219.265.250
Isaac ParedesValue card 3B·0-4400000020.250.341.375
Yordan AlvarezValue card DH·1-3311110013.322.429.649
Christian WalkerValue card 1B·1-3311110110.266.342.521
Braden ShewmakeValue card SS·0-330000019.341.341.568
Brice MatthewsValue card CF·0-3300000011.202.254.367
Zach ColeValue card LF·1-3311110112.235.257.529
Zach DezenzoValue card LF·1-3301000112.182.250.409
Cam SmithValue card RF0-000000000.199.289.318
Christian VazquezValue card C·0-2200001015.247.307.407

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Kai-Wei TengValue card RP·5.020047076-462.6176
Steven OkertValue card RP1.000002012-93.6012
Enyel De Los SantosValue card RP0.131100012-104.5812
Bryan KingValue card RP0.200010012-73.1512
AJ BlubaughValue card RP0.200020016-75.0616
Bryan AbreuValue card RP1.110010024-147.8024

Key Plays

Scoring and Swing Plays

Scoring, late-game swings, and high-leverage moments from the game feed.

  1. Late home run · 9th InningChristian Vázquez challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Joc Pederson walks.1–4
  2. Run-scoring play · 1st InningAlvarez homered to right (362 feet).0–2
  3. Late run · 7th InningPederson singled to center, Burger scored, Foscue to second.1–4
  4. Go-ahead run · 1st InningAltuve homered to left (358 feet).0–1
  5. Late home run · 8th InningCal Quantrill pitches to Christian Vazquez1–4
  6. Home Run · 1st InningJacob deGrom pitches to Christian Walker0–2
  7. Home Run · 2nd InningJacob deGrom pitches to Christian Vazquez0–2
  8. Home Run · 4th InningJacob deGrom pitches to Christian Walker0–3
  9. Home Run · 5th InningJacob deGrom pitches to Christian Vazquez0–4
  10. Home Run · 6th InningJacob deGrom pitches to Christian Walker0–4

Game Read

A transparent matchup read built from team strength, recent scoreboard history, league volatility, and available starter/bullpen context. It is analysis, not betting advice.

Night GameIndoor6:10 PM CTProbables: Jacob deGrom vs Kai-Wei TengMLB.TV
Result readHouston Astros

Texas Rangers 1 · Houston Astros 4

Final
Texas Rangers23-25+0.2 net/g (schedule-adjusted +0.3) · expected win rate 53% · last 10: 60%
Houston Astros20-30-1-1.0 net/g (schedule-adjusted -1.2) · expected win rate 40% · last 10: 40%
Home VenueDaikin ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating points

Houston Astros gets the nod thanks to Texas Rangers’s margin advantage, with Texas Rangers’s recent run providing the second tip. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Texas Rangers at 72%. Actual: Houston Astros by 3.

Model: rafty-v2.0. Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, schedule-adjusted margin, recent form, rest, home venue, league volatility, and MLB starter/bullpen context when available. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.

Interactive Rafty tool

Rafty Game Lab

Move the context sliders to see how Rafty’s matchup lean reacts before it becomes a public pick.

rafty-v2.0
Current lean Texas Rangers
71% Houston Astros win probability 29%

Move a control to see what would swing the pick.

    Why This Pick?

    • Texas Rangers: Team baseline-27.3
    • Houston Astros: Bullpen rest+1.4
    • Houston Astros: Home venue+1.0
    • Texas Rangers: Starter context-0.4
    Model check
    Live model: Texas Rangers 71%
    v3 candidate: Texas Rangers 59%
    Same pick; home probability +11.8 pp, confidence -11.8 pp
    • Houston Astros: scoring-margin gap +0.28
    • Texas Rangers: v2 shadow probability -0.25
    • Texas Rangers: expected-win gap -0.18
    Preview v3 controls
    Copies the current sliders and toggles into this matchup link.
    Scenario presets

    For entertainment and analysis only. This tool does not use betting odds, spreads, parlays, or wagering advice.

    Key Players to Watch

    Injury Report

    Houston Astros

    Bennett Sousa15-Day-ILYainer Diaz10-Day-ILWalker JanekDay-To-DayJosh Hader60-Day-ILJoey Loperfido10-Day-IL

    Texas Rangers

    Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILRobert Garcia15-Day-ILMacKenzie GoreDay-To-DayWyatt Langford10-Day-ILCorey Seager10-Day-IL
    On The Diamond

    A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

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