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In The Rafters

ANA @ VGK

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor6:30 PM PT🥅 Lukas Dostal vs Carter HartHBO Max
Result readAnaheim Ducks

Anaheim Ducks 3 · Vegas Golden Knights 1

Final
Anaheim Ducks48-43-0.2 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 60%
Vegas Golden Knights45-46+0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.2) · expected win rate 54% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeT-Mobile ArenaHome adjustment: +1.7 rating pts

Pick goes to Anaheim Ducks on the back of Vegas Golden Knights’s margin work and Vegas Golden Knights’s last-ten momentum. One power-play goal each side moves this projection by roughly half a goal.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Vegas Golden Knights at 79%. Actual: Anaheim Ducks by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Anaheim Ducks

Vegas Golden Knights

Game Leaders

Anaheim DucksLeo Carlsson1
Vegas Golden KnightsMark Stone1

Injury Report

Vegas Golden Knights

Mark StoneDay-To-Day

Anaheim Ducks

Radko GudasDay-To-Day
On The Ice

Lines and pairings sketched from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Anaheim Ducks
CG C. Gauthier LW · #61 LC Leo Carlsson C · #91 BS B. Sennecke RW · #45 JL J. LaCombe LD · #2 JT Jacob Trouba RD · #65 LD Lukas Dostal G · #1
Vegas Golden Knights
IB Ivan Barbashev LW · #49 JE Jack Eichel C · #9 MM Mitch Marner RW · #93 ST Shea Theodore LD · #27 NH Noah Hanifin RD · #15 AS Akira Schmid G · #40

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🥅 GoalMark Stone Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: Jack Eichel (9), Shea Theodore (3)3rd · 19:543–1
  2. 🥅 GoalJansen Harkins Goal (1) Wrist Shot, assists: none3rd · 16:303–0
  3. 🥅 GoalLeo Carlsson Goal (4) Wrist Shot, assists: Troy Terry (6), Chris Kreider (5)3rd · 6:362–0
  4. 🥅 GoalBeckett Sennecke Goal (2) Wrist Shot, assists: Jeffrey Viel (1), Ryan Poehling (1)2nd · 11:231–0

Scoring by Period

TeamP1P2P3T
Anaheim Ducks0123
Vegas Golden Knights0011

Team Stats

Anaheim Ducks Stat Vegas Golden Knights
0PPG1
8PIM10
21FO Won36
39Hits39
2Takeaways2

Anaheim Ducks

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Leo Carlsson C101121:036:020:0015:012514041021016.7200
Cutter Gauthier LW120016:423:470:0012:5521040410020.0000
Mikael Granlund C110017:072:592:4811:20240302208561.5000
Jansen Harkins C04019:440:040:009:4018110100000.0000
Ross Johnston LW13018:500:000:008:5016000200000.0112
Alex Killorn LW120019:272:583:0513:2426030300000.0100
Chris Kreider LW130119:465:001:0313:4327011200000.0000
Ryan Poehling C121114:143:042:049:062604100051033.3012
Beckett Sennecke RW000111:033:090:007:5417120110000.0000
Troy Terry RW120120:185:440:0014:3424031210000.0100
Jeffrey Viel LW04019:150:040:009:11180210001150.0212
Tim Washe C040113:550:043:1110:40210000005838.5012
PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
John Carlson D130124:535:322:1217:0932000200000.0200
Drew Helleson D020010:270:000:0010:2717000010000.0100
Tyson Hinds D020012:310:001:5610:3521000110000.0000
Jackson LaCombe D000222:233:040:0019:1929010030000.0100
Pavel Mintyukov D200119:550:004:1415:4129000210000.0200
Jacob Trouba D350222:180:044:0318:1131010210000.0200
PlayerGASASOSSOSASVSV%ESSVPPSVSHSVTOIYTDGPIM
Lukas Dostal G1220021.955165060:0000

Vegas Golden Knights

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Ivan Barbashev LW080017:332:570:0014:3621030510000.0100
Pavel Dorofeyev RW000013:202:430:0010:3719040110000.0100
Nic Dowd C120-116:500:284:1712:05200201007463.6400
Jack Eichel C100-119:053:370:5614:322701123015962.5014
Tomas Hertl C130011:522:510:058:56170000102250.0012
Brett Howden C050-315:052:081:1311:44220502002433.3000
William Karlsson C000-113:192:530:549:32200001008188.9000
Keegan Kolesar RW03008:570:001:247:3313000000010.0012
Mitch Marner RW010-316:313:111:5311:272303020010100.0112
Colton Sissons C140012:180:050:3711:361702002010100.0000
Cole Smith RW140013:480:022:1611:3018020000000.0100
Mark Stone RW041-117:353:101:2113:0422130100000.0200
PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Rasmus Andersson D210-224:412:425:0316:5627000300000.0100
Noah Hanifin D411-120:220:002:4517:3729000010000.0200
Ben Hutton D100-111:030:000:0410:5919000100000.0100
Kaedan Korczak D120-111:310:000:0411:2720000000000.0200
Brayden McNabb D510022:250:205:4516:2030000100000.0100
Shea Theodore D100-124:093:382:5817:3330021210000.0000
PlayerGASASOSSOSASVSV%ESSVPPSVSHSVTOIYTDGPIM
Carter Hart G2270025.926176259:3600

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 3rd · 20:00Game End
  2. 3rd · 20:00End of 3rd Period
  3. 3rd · 19:54Tim Washe faceoff won against Tomas Hertl
  4. 3rd · 19:54Mark Stone Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: Jack Eichel (9), Shea Theodore (3)3–1
  5. 3rd · 19:45Tim Washe faceoff won against Jack Eichel
  6. 3rd · 19:45Ross Johnston High-sticking against Colton Sissons
  7. 3rd · 19:11Keegan Kolesar hit Beckett Sennecke
  8. 3rd · 19:00Jacob Trouba hit Tomas Hertl
  9. 3rd · 18:55Giveaway by Jeffrey Viel
  10. 3rd · 18:25Ivan Barbashev shot blocked by Pavel Mintyukov
  11. 3rd · 18:18Giveaway by Pavel Mintyukov
  12. 3rd · 17:22Pavel Dorofeyev Wrist Shot Wide Left

Scoring Plays

  1. 3rd · 19:54Mark Stone Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: Jack Eichel (9), Shea Theodore (3)3–1
  2. 3rd · 16:30Jansen Harkins Goal (1) Wrist Shot, assists: none3–0
  3. 3rd · 6:36Leo Carlsson Goal (4) Wrist Shot, assists: Troy Terry (6), Chris Kreider (5)2–0
  4. 2nd · 11:23Beckett Sennecke Goal (2) Wrist Shot, assists: Jeffrey Viel (1), Ryan Poehling (1)1–0

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