Skip to content

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM CT⚾ Slade Cecconi vs Seth LugoMLB.TVCLEGuardians.TVRoyals.TV
Result readCleveland Guardians

Cleveland Guardians 8 · Kansas City Royals 5

Final
Cleveland Guardians23-21-1+0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.2) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 50%
Kansas City Royals19-23-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.1) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeKauffman StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Cleveland Guardians on the back of Cleveland Guardians’s margin work and Kansas City Royals’s last-ten momentum. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Kansas City Royals at 59%. Actual: Cleveland Guardians by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Injury Report

Kansas City Royals

Bailey Falter15-Day-ILCole Ragans15-Day-ILJames McArthur60-Day-ILAnthony SimonelliDay-To-DayJavier VazDay-To-Day

Cleveland Guardians

Gabriel Arias10-Day-ILShawn Armstrong15-Day-ILAndrew Walters15-Day-ILCarlos HernandezDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Top Performers

Final Notes

  • Final frame: Cleveland Guardians beat Kansas City Royals 8-5.
  • Top line: Bobby Witt Jr. (Kansas City Royals) — 4-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 R.
  • Support line: Bo Naylor (Cleveland Guardians) — 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI, 1 R.
  • Support line: Slade Cecconi (Cleveland Guardians) — 5.1 IP, 3 K, 2 ER.

Highlights

  1. ScorePasquantino homered to right center (414 feet).7th Inning8–4
  2. ScoreWitt Jr. homered to right center (407 feet).7th Inning8–3
  3. ScoreNaylor homered to right (393 feet), Bazzana scored and Rocchio scored.7th Inning8–2
  4. ScoreHalpin scored on a passed ball by Jensen.6th Inning5–1
  5. ScoreSchneemann singled to right, Manzardo scored.1st Inning3–0
  6. ScoreLoftin hit sacrifice fly to center, Jensen scored.6th Inning5–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Cleveland Guardians3010013008110
Kansas City Royals0000112105120

Cleveland Guardians

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Steven Kwan CF·1-4411001123.212.306.270
Chase DeLauter RF·1-4401001020.306.392.548
Angel Martinez LF0-000000000.270.311.468
Jose Ramirez 3B·1-3311002228.211.341.394
Kyle Manzardo 1B·1-5511200123.200.274.286
Daniel Schneemann CF·1-4411101221.283.355.485
Travis Bazzana 2B·1-3311001116.192.382.192
Brayan Rocchio SS·2-4412001223.262.343.369
Bo Naylor C·2-5512310121.143.200.238
Petey Halpin CF·1-4411101129.154.214.154

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Slade Cecconi SP·5.162233082-456.1582
Tim Herrin RP0.110010012-60.0012
Connor Brogdon RP1.122211236-195.2836
Hunter Gaddis RP0.231100010-69.0010
Erik Sabrowski RP0.10000106-42.206
Cade Smith RP1.000002016-83.1216

Kansas City Royals

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Maikel Garcia 3B·2-5502100121.270.335.418
Bobby Witt Jr. SS·4-4414111016.298.368.457
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B·1-5511110123.194.277.366
Salvador Perez C·0-5500000117.199.237.336
Carter Jensen C·1-4411001224.223.313.402
Jac Caglianone RF·1-5501000120.243.323.414
Isaac Collins LF·1-2211002018.250.367.380
Michael Massey 2B·1-221100004.224.250.403
Nick Loftin 3B1-110110005.263.370.368
Kyle Isbel CF·0-220000016.273.340.420
Lane Thomas CF0-000010108.227.381.288

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Seth Lugo SP·4.0744450102-603.21102
Daniel Lynch IV RP1.000002015-81.7215
Alex Lange RP1.011111020-126.3520
Eric Cerantola RP2.013333144-209.0044
Nick Mears RP1.020000023-161.9823

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 4th InningManzardo flied out to center.
  2. 4th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
  3. 9th InningNaylor reached on infield single to second.
  4. 8th InningPasquantino struck out swinging.
  5. 4th InningPitch 8 : Ball 3

Scoring Plays

  1. 7th InningPasquantino homered to right center (414 feet).8–4
  2. 7th InningWitt Jr. homered to right center (407 feet).8–3
  3. 7th InningNaylor homered to right (393 feet), Bazzana scored and Rocchio scored.8–2
  4. 6th InningHalpin scored on a passed ball by Jensen.5–1
  5. 1st InningSchneemann singled to right, Manzardo scored.3–0
  6. 6th InningLoftin hit sacrifice fly to center, Jensen scored.5–2
  7. 6th InningHalpin scored on a passed ball by Jensen.5–1
  8. 8th InningThomas hit sacrifice fly to left, Collins scored.8–5
  9. 5th InningGarcia singled to right, Massey scored.4–1
  10. 3rd InningHalpin singled to center, Schneemann scored, Rocchio to second.4–0
  11. 1st InningManzardo doubled to center, Kwan scored and Ramírez scored.2–0

Trending